AUSTRALASIA: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
China - Japan
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1China — 72%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction China - Japan July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.90 / 2 1.02
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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China - Japan
Basketball, China - Japan, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 73 : 92, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Asia and Okeaniya. Vo skolko nachalo matches China - Japan, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.68 59.5% | |
| — | — | 1.78 56.2% | |
| — | — | 1.47 68.0% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 2.90 34.5% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | — | 2.02 49.5% | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 144.5 | — | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 145.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 146.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 162.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% | 7.90 12.7% | 1.38 72.5% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 1.02 98.0% | 3.00 33.3% |
Full head-to-head historyChina - Japan
Match history
China Japan 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 2 Losses 1 339 Scored 328 343 Conceded 296 6 Points 7 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 41% 18% 41% Double chance 30% 40% 30% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289448' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');