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Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship) International
18.07.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)

Bellarine - Pakenham

International Basketball
Bellarine
Bellarine
83 : 65
Finished
Pakenham
Pakenham
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pakenham (odds1.50) Score 79:81 Under 173.5 (odds1.88) ✗ Handicap H1 +4.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Pakenkhem: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Pakenkhem: probability 51% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 173.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 173.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bellarine - Pakenham July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bellarine. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Bellarine - Pakenham

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 141.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 142.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 2.15 46.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 141.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 142.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 143.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 144.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 145.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 146.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 147.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 148.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 149.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 150.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 151.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Over 152.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 153.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 154.5 — — 2.17 46.1%
Over 173.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 173.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.43 41.2% 2.45 40.8% 1.01 99.0% 2.53 39.5%
1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 11.00 9.1% 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-1
2026-07-18 · Bellarin Storm 83:65 Pakenkham
2026-05-23 · Bellarin Storm 94:67 Pakenkham
2025-06-15 · Bellarin Storm 79:89 Pakenkham
2025-05-25 · Bellarin Storm 85:81 Pakenkham
2024-08-03 · Bellarin Storm 99:96 Pakenkham
Source: ruscore
Pakenham
W
11.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Pakenham 97:87 RMITRMIT
1 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
87.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBellarine - Pakenham

Bellarine
0 matches total
Pakenham
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history