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Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship) International
01.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)

Warrandyte Venom - Univer Melbourne

International Basketball
Warrandyte Venom
Warrandyte Venom
- : -
Not started
Univer Melbourne
Univer Melbourne
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Warrandyte Venom56%

1 · Warrandyte Venom ✓ Pick56.0%
2 · Univer Melbourne44.0%

Model estimate: win Warrandyte Venom 56.0%, win Univer Melbourne 44.0%. Model favourite — Warrandyte Venom.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Warrandyte Venom (odds1.33) Score 81:79 Under 190.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H2 +7.5 (odds1.85) confidence 56%
  • Vorrendayt Venom: forma V (1-0)
  • Univer Melburna: forma PVV (2-1)
  • Model backs Vorrendayt Venom: probability 56% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 190.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 190.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F2 +7.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Warrandyte Venom - Univer Melbourne August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Warrandyte Venom. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 71.1%
2 28.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.30 → 1.30
Pobeditel P2 3.20 → 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Warrandyte Venom - Univer Melbourne

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Warrandyte Venom 71.1% 56.0% market and model agree
Univer Melbourne 28.9% 44.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.0% / 44.0% probabilities
Rating 1,688 / 1,566 Warrandyte Venom / Univer Melbourne
RD 293 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,103-2,273 / 1,078-2,055 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 44.0%
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 56.0%
Total
Over 190.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 190.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 190.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 190.5 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0%
3.07 32.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-05-23 · Uorrandayt Venom 103:86 Melburn Uni
Source: ruscore
Warrandyte Venom
W
18.07 10:00 UTC Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Warrandyte Venom 110:93 Dzhipslend YunaytedDzhipslend Yunayted
1 Wins
0 Losses
110.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Univer Melbourne
L W W
25.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Univer Melbourne 90:109 RMITRMIT
18.07 10:00 UTC Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Univer Melbourne 68:57 Uindkhem
11.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Big V (Victorian State Championship)
Univer Melbourne 91:79 Kembervell DregonsKembervell Dregons
2 Wins
1 Losses
83.0 Scored
81.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage