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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
18.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans

International Basketball
Brisbane Capitals
Brisbane Capitals
75 : 83
Finished
Southern Districts Spartans
Southern Districts Spartans
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Brisbane Capitals (odds1.62) Score 81:79 Under 192.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.80) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Brisben Kepitals: probability 50% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 192.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 192.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Southern Districts Spartans. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / 2 1.17

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 21.8%
2 78.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.40 71.4%
2.20 45.5%
2.35 42.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.32 75.8%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.48 67.6%
1.37 73.0%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 154.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 155.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 156.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 157.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 158.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 159.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 160.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 161.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 162.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 163.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 164.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 165.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 192.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 192.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.58 63.3% 1.61 62.1% 4.20 23.8% 1.25 80.0%
2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 1.17 85.5% 4.13 24.2%