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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 10:00 UTC
01.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Cairns Marlins - Ipswich F

International Basketball
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
- : -
Not started
Ipswich F
Ipswich F
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ipswich F — 51%

1 · Cairns Marlins48.7%
2 · Ipswich F51.3%

Model estimate: win Cairns Marlins 48.7%, win Ipswich F 51.3%. Model favourite — Ipswich F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Marlins - Ipswich F August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 80.3%
2 19.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.15 → 1.15
Pobeditel P2 4.70 → 4.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Cairns Marlins - Ipswich F

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Marlins 80.3% 48.7% market favourite
Ipswich F 19.7% 51.3% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 48.7% / 51.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,829 Cairns Marlins / Ipswich F
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,246-2,411 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · weak value +140.9% · model 51.3%
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 48.7%
Total
Over 191.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 191.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3% —
— — 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 191.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 191.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0%
4.70 21.3% 4.90 20.4% 4.70 21.3% 4.94 20.2%
Match center
Cairns Marlins
W
25.07 09:00 UTC+0 Australia. Championship NBL 1
Cairns Marlins 86:81 Sanshayn Kost Finiks
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Ipswich F
W
25.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Championship NBL 1
Ipswich F 86:81 Sanshayn Kost Finiks
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCairns Marlins - Ipswich F

Cairns Marlins
0 matches total
Ipswich F
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history