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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
18.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers

International Basketball
Diamond Valley Eagles
Diamond Valley Eagles
83 : 100
Finished
Dandenong Rangers
Dandenong Rangers
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dandenong Rangers57%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dandenong Rangers): model 51% · market 8% Δ +43 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Diamond Valley Eagles43.1%
2 · Dandenong Rangers ✓ Pick56.9%

Model estimate: win Diamond Valley Eagles 43.1%, win Dandenong Rangers 56.9%. Model favourite — Dandenong Rangers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dandenong Rangers (odds1.60) Score 79:81 Under 187.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • Dandenong Reyndzhers: forma V (1-0)
  • Model backs Dandenong Reyndzhers: probability 51% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 187.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 187.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Diamond Valley Eagles.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diamond Valley Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Diamond Valley Eagles 43.1% / Dandenong Rangers 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 ✓ Pick 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.25 ↓ 1.80
Winner 2 1.57 ↑ 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 83:100
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diamond Valley Eagles 42.7% 43.1%
Dandenong Rangers 57.3% 56.9% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 43.1% / 56.9% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,839 Diamond Valley Eagles / Dandenong Rangers
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,257-2,422 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 56.9%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 43.1%
Total
Over 161.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 162.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.63 61.4%
2.17 46.1%
2.40 41.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.65 60.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.50 40.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.82 55.0%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 161.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 162.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 163.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 164.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 165.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 166.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 167.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 168.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 169.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 170.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 171.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 172.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 174.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 175.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 176.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 177.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 178.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 2.82 35.5%
11.00 9.1% 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Diamond Valley Eagles
W
10.07 10:30 UTC+0 Australia. Championship NBL 1
Diamond Valley Eagles 98:66 Keysi Kavalers
1 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Dandenong Rangers
W
10.07 10:30 UTC Australia. Championship NBL 1
Dandenong Rangers 98:66 Keysi Kavalers
1 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
66.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage