Australia. Championship NBL 1
Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Dandenong Rangers — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Dandenong Rangers): model 51% · market 8% Δ +43 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Diamond Valley Eagles 43.1%, win Dandenong Rangers 56.9%. Model favourite — Dandenong Rangers.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Dandenong Reyndzhers: forma V (1-0)
- • Model backs Dandenong Reyndzhers: probability 51% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
- • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 187.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 187.5 (odds 1.88)
- • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers July 18, 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Diamond Valley Eagles.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
- Glicko: Diamond Valley Eagles 43.1% / Dandenong Rangers 56.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 2.17 46.1% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.72 58.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 161.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 163.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 164.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 165.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 167.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 171.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 172.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 175.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 2.82 35.5% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | 1.46 68.5% |
Diamond Valley Eagles
Dandenong Rangers
Full head-to-head historyDiamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers
Match history
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