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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Frankston Blues - Knox Raiders

International Basketball
Frankston Blues
Frankston Blues
- : -
Not started
Knox Raiders
Knox Raiders
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Frankston Blues — 50%

1 · Frankston Blues50.3%
2 · Knox Raiders49.7%

Model estimate: win Frankston Blues 50.3%, win Knox Raiders 49.7%. Model favourite — Frankston Blues.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Frankston Blues (odds2.28) Score 81:79 Under 187.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Frenkston Blyuz: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Under 187.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 187.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frankston Blues - Knox Raiders August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Knox Raiders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.57

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 41.1%
2 58.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.25 → 2.25
Pobeditel P2 1.57 → 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Frankston Blues - Knox Raiders

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Frankston Blues 41.1% 50.3% Glicko contrarian
Knox Raiders 58.9% 49.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Frankston Blues / Knox Raiders
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
1 2.25 Fonbet · value +13.2% · model 50.3%
Total
Over 187.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 188.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% — 1.85 54.1%
— 1.81 55.3% —
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 187.5 1.80 55.6% — 1.82 55.0%
Over 188.5 — 1.87 53.5% —
Under 187.5 1.86 53.8% — 1.88 53.2%
Under 188.5 — 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.20 45.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.57 63.7%