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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Gold Coast Rollers - Logan Thunder

International Basketball
Gold Coast Rollers
Gold Coast Rollers
- : -
Not started
Logan Thunder
Logan Thunder
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Logan Thunder — 53%

1 · Gold Coast Rollers47.4%
2 · Logan Thunder52.6%

Model estimate: win Gold Coast Rollers 47.4%, win Logan Thunder 52.6%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Logan Thunder (odds2.95) Score 79:81 Under 198.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.85) confidence 53%
  • • Gold Kost Rollers: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Logan Tander: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Logan Tander: probability 53% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.95)
  • • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • • Total: Under 198.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 198.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gold Coast Rollers - Logan Thunder August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gold Coast Rollers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 68.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.35 → 1.35
Pobeditel P2 2.95 → 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gold Coast Rollers
2-8WLLLLLLLLW
points for 70.8points against 79.3
Logan Thunder
9-1WLWWWWWWWW
points for 86.2points against 73.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Gold Coast Rollers - Logan Thunder

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gold Coast Rollers 68.6% 47.4% market favourite
Logan Thunder 31.4% 52.6% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 47.4% / 52.6% probabilities
Rating 1,599 / 1,730 Gold Coast Rollers / Logan Thunder
RD 185 / 141 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,228-1,969 / 1,447-2,012 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +55.1% · model 52.6%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 47.4%
Total
Over 198.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 198.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 198.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 198.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1%
2.85 35.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
Match center
Gold Coast Rollers
L W W W W
19.07 02:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Gold Coast Rollers 68:84 Mackay MeteorsMackay Meteors
11.07 07:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Gold Coast Rollers 81:68 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Gold Coast Rollers 73:62 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
04.07 07:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Gold Coast Rollers 111:108 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
12.06 08:00 UTC+0 Australia: NBL 1 North
Gold Coast Rollers 136:87 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
4 Wins
1 Losses
93.8 Scored
81.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Logan Thunder
W
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia. Championship NBL 1
Logan Thunder 108:85 Makey Meteorz
1 Wins
0 Losses
108.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage