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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders

International Basketball
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
- : -
Not started
Central Coast Crusaders
Central Coast Crusaders
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles): model 49% · market 70% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ✓ Pick69.5%
market70%
2 · Central Coast Crusaders30.5%
market30%

Model estimate: win Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 69.5%, win Central Coast Crusaders 30.5%. Model favourite — Manly Warringah Sea Eagles.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (odds1.30) Score 83:77 Under 165.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.90) confidence 69%
  • • Menli-Uorringa Si Iglz: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Menli-Uorringa Si Iglz: probability 69% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 165.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 83:77 (diff +6) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.32 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 70.1%
2 29.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.32 → 1.32
Pobeditel P2 3.10 → 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Central Coast Crusaders

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 71.0% 69.5% market and model agree
Central Coast Crusaders 29.0% 30.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 69.5% / 30.5% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,500 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles / Central Coast Crusaders
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 653-1,818 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 Fonbet · no value · model 30.5%
1 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 69.5%
Total
Over 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.78 56.2% — 1.80 55.6%
— 1.90 52.6% —
1.88 53.2% — —
— 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 165.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.26 79.4% 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6%
3.00 33.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.42 29.2%
Match center
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
L
25.07 09:00 UTC Australia. Championship NBL 1
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 65:86 Illavara Khouks Varata
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Central Coast Crusaders
L
25.07 09:00 UTC+0 Australia. Championship NBL 1
Central Coast Crusaders 65:86 Illavara Khouks Varata
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage