Australia. Championship NBL 1
North Gold Coast Seahawks - Logan Thunder (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Logan Thunder (w) — 53%
Model estimate: win North Gold Coast Seahawks 47.4%, win Logan Thunder (w) 52.6%. Model favourite — Logan Thunder (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Gold Kost Rollers: forma PVVVV (4-1)
- • Logan Tander: forma VVVPP (3-2)
- • Model backs Logan Tander: probability 53% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.95)
- • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
- • Total: Under 198.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 198.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction North Gold Coast Seahawks - Logan Thunder (w) August 1, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 2.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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North Gold Coast Seahawks - Logan Thunder (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 198.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 198.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 2.95 33.9% |
North Gold Coast Seahawks
Mackay Meteors
South West Metro Pirates
Ipswich Force
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Logan Thunder (w)
Full head-to-head historyNorth Gold Coast Seahawks - Logan Thunder (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The North Gold Coast Seahawks - Logan Thunder (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form