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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Nunawading Spectres - Keilor Thunder (w)

International Basketball
Nunawading Spectres
Nunawading Spectres
- : -
Not started
Keilor Thunder (w)
Keilor Thunder (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Keilor Thunder (w) — 52%

1 · Nunawading Spectres48.2%
2 · Keilor Thunder (w)51.8%

Model estimate: win Nunawading Spectres 48.2%, win Keilor Thunder (w) 51.8%. Model favourite — Keilor Thunder (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Keilor Thunder (w) (odds1.94) Score 79:81 Under 186.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.85) confidence 52%
  • • Keylor Tander (zh): forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Keylor Tander (zh): probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Total: Under 186.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 186.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nunawading Spectres - Keilor Thunder (w) August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nunawading Spectres. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / 2 1.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 52.3%
2 47.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.77 → 1.77
Pobeditel P2 1.94 → 1.94

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Nunawading Spectres - Keilor Thunder (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nunawading Spectres 52.3% 48.2% market favourite
Keilor Thunder (w) 47.7% 51.8% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 48.2% / 51.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,965 Nunawading Spectres / Keilor Thunder (w)
RD 350 / 262 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,441-2,490 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 Fonbet · no value · model 51.8%
1 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 48.2%
Total
Over 186.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 186.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 186.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 186.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.77 56.5%
1.94 51.6%
Match center
Nunawading Spectres
W W
17.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Nunawading Spectres 91:69 Bendigo Breyvz (zh)Bendigo Breyvz (zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Nunawading Spectres 102:69 Maunt Gembier Payoners (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
96.5 Scored
69.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Keilor Thunder (w)
W W
17.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Keilor Thunder (w) 91:69 Bendigo Breyvz (zh)Bendigo Breyvz (zh)
10.07 08:30 UTC+0 Australia. Women. NBL 1
Keilor Thunder (w) 102:69 Maunt Gembier Payoners (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
96.5 Scored
69.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage