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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Not started

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Rockingham Flames - Joondalup Wolves

International Basketball
Rockingham Flames
Rockingham Flames
- : -
Not started
Joondalup Wolves
Joondalup Wolves
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rockingham Flames — 50%

1 · Rockingham Flames50.3%
2 · Joondalup Wolves49.7%

Model estimate: win Rockingham Flames 50.3%, win Joondalup Wolves 49.7%. Model favourite — Rockingham Flames.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rockingham Flames - Joondalup Wolves August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rockingham Flames. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 79.0%
2 21.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.17 → 1.17
Pobeditel P2 4.40 → 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Rockingham Flames - Joondalup Wolves

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rockingham Flames 79.0% 50.3% market and model agree
Joondalup Wolves 21.0% 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Rockingham Flames / Joondalup Wolves
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +118.6% · model 49.7%
1 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 193.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 193.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 193.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
Under 193.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%
4.30 23.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.35 23.0%