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Australia. Championship NBL 1
Australia. Championship NBL 1 International
17.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Championship NBL 1

Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions

International Basketball
Woodville Warriors
Woodville Warriors
79 : 90
Finished
Central Districts Lions
Central Districts Lions
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Woodville Warriors (odds1.76) Score 81:79 Under 177.5 (odds1.88) ✓ Handicap H1 -1.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Sentral Distrikt Lions: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Vudvill Uorriorz: probability 53% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 177.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 177.5 (odds 1.88)
  • • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Central Districts Lions. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.90 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 13.1%
2 86.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 156.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 157.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 158.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 159.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 161.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 162.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 163.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 164.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 165.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 166.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 167.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Over 168.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 169.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 177.5 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 177.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 6.90 14.5% 2.16 46.3%
1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.74 57.5%