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Australia. Women. NBL 1
Australia. Women. NBL 1
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Women. NBL 1

Brisbane Capitals (w) - Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)

Basketball
Brisbane Capitals (w)
Brisbane Capitals (w)
68 : 81
Finished
S
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brisbane Capitals (w) - Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brisbane Capitals (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 82.4%
2 17.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
50.0%Win %50.0%
89.5Points per game87.3
92.7Offensive rating105.4
90.4Defensive rating108.1
2.3Point differential-2.3
57.0Assists55.5
114.8Rebounds114.0
29.8%3-pointers, %36.5%

Team form

Brisbane Capitals (w)
Overall LLLLW Net -7.5
Home LLLW Net -6.7
Away LL Net -8.3
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
Overall LLWLL Net -26.0
Home LLL Net -37.7
Away WLL Net -9.6

Team stats

Brisbane Capitals (w) Overall · Home/Away Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
46.2%H 50.0% · A 42.9%Win %16.7%H 0.0% · A 40.0%
-7.5H -6.7 · A -8.3Point differential-26.0H -37.7 · A -9.6
92.5H 93.5 · A 91.7Points per game85.4H 84.1 · A 87.2
96.3H 96.8 · A 95.9Conceded98.4H 103.0 · A 92.0
51.5%H 51.0% · A 52.0%FG, %48.3%H 47.6% · A 49.2%
38.5H 33.3 · A 42.91st half8.3H 0.0 · A 20.0
76.7H 78.9 · A 74.8Pace77.6H 79.1 · A 75.4
122.5H 117.7 · A 127.0Offensive rating112.4H 109.8 · A 116.1
127.5H 122.5 · A 132.1Defensive rating129.5H 126.5 · A 133.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Brisbane Capitals (w) Total (over) Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
92.5 Points per game 85.4
61.5%
O 85.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 86.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 87.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 88.5srednee
41.7%
53.8%
O 89.5
33.3%
53.8%
O 90.5
25.0%
53.8%
O 91.5
25.0%
46.2%
O 92.5
25.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Brisbane Capitals (w) Total (over) Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
23.1%
O 103.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 104.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 105.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 106.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 107.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 108.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 109.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 110.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Brisbane Capitals (w) 46.9 / Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 42.2

Brisbane Capitals (w) Total (over) Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
61.5%
O 43.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 44.5srednee
41.7%
46.2%
O 45.5
33.3%
38.5%
O 46.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Brisbane Capitals (w) 44.2 / Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 43.3

Brisbane Capitals (w) Total (over) Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
46.2%
O 42.5
50.0%
38.5%
O 43.5srednee
33.3%
30.8%
O 44.5
33.3%
30.8%
O 45.5
33.3%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Brisbane Capitals (w) - Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.78 56.2% —
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— 1.94 51.6% —
— 1.77 56.5% —
1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 1.42 70.4%
— — 1.95 51.3%
1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 100.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 101.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Over 103.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 104.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 106.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Over 107.5 — — 1.97 50.8%
Over 159.5 1.81 55.3% — 1.82 55.0%
Over 160.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%
Over 161.5 — 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 159.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 160.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 161.5 — 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 1.09 91.7% 2.34 42.7%
1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 5.10 19.6% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Brisbane Capitals (w)
L L W L
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Brisbane Capitals (w) 82:90 Kerns Dolfins (Zh)Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Brisbane Capitals (w) 71:93 Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Brisbane Capitals (w) 82:63 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
22.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Brisbane Capitals (w) 78:87 Northside WizardsNorthside Wizards
1 Wins
3 Losses
78.3 Scored
83.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
W L W L W
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 90:66 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 79:80 Northside WizardsNorthside Wizards
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 85:65 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
30.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 81:92 Logan Thunder (Zh)Logan Thunder (Zh)
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh) 78:74 Ipsvich Fors (Zh)Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
82.6 Scored
75.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage