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Australia. Women. NBL 1
Australia. Women. NBL 1
17.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Women. NBL 1

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w)

Basketball
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Cairns Dolphins (w)
82 : 68
Finished
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cairns Dolphins (w) — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Dolphins (w)): model 47% · market 88% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cairns Dolphins (w) ✓ Pick84.1%
market88%
2 · Rockhampton Cyclones (w)15.9%
market12%

Model estimate: win Cairns Dolphins (w) 84.1%, win Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 15.9%. Model favourite — Cairns Dolphins (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rockhampton Cyclones (w) (odds1.90) Score 79:81 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kerns Dolfins (Zh): forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Rokkhempton (Zh): forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Rokkhempton (Zh): probability 53% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cairns Dolphins (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Dolphins (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Cairns Dolphins (w) 84.1% / Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 15.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 0.3%
1 ✓ Pick 88.3%
2 11.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cairns Dolphins (w)
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
points for 89.3points against 77.4
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
2-3WLWLL
points for 75.9points against 85.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Cairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 82:68
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Dolphins (w) 86.9% 84.1% market and model agree
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 13.1% 15.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 84.1% / 15.9% probabilities
Rating 1,358 / 1,487 Cairns Dolphins (w) / Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
RD 295 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 767-1,948 / 1,124-1,850 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.73 market consensus · no value · model 15.9%
1 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 84.1%
Total
Over 166.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.87 53.5% —
1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
— 1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 166.5 1.80 55.6% — —
Over 167.5 1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 169.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 166.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 167.5 1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
Under 168.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 169.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.13 88.5%
8.50 11.8% 8.40 11.9% 6.30 15.9%
Match center
Cairns Dolphins (w)
L L W W W
10.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 83:91 Logan Thunder (Zh)Logan Thunder (Zh)
04.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 95:99 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
03.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 86:79 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 90:82 Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 103:90 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.4 Scored
88.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
W W L W L
11.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 109:99 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
04.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 83:80 Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 90:103 Kerns Dolfins (Zh)Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
07.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 79:74 Ipsvich Fors (Zh)Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) 78:83 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
3 Wins
2 Losses
87.8 Scored
87.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCairns Dolphins (w) - Rockhampton Cyclones (w)

Cairns Dolphins (w)
1 matches total
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Cairns Dolphins (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kerns Dolfins (Zh) 103:90 (12.06 06:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (103:90, 12.06 06:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
103:90
Rokkhempton (Zh)