Match center
Start
03.07.2026 06:30 UTC
03.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. Women. NBL 1
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
78
:
88
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Mackay Mertteorettes (w) — 82%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Townsville Flames (w) July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mackay Mertteorettes (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Overall
LLWWL
Net +26.3
Home
LWWW
Net +30.0
Away
LL
Net +22.7
Townsville Flames (w)
Overall
WWLWW
Net +11.8
Home
WWLW
Net +20.7
Away
WW
Net +3.0
Team stats
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Overall · Home/Away
Townsville Flames (w)
66.7%H 66.7% · A 66.7%Win %66.7%H 66.7% · A 66.7%
26.3H 30.0 · A 22.7Point differential11.8H 20.7 · A 3.0
91.4H 94.2 · A 88.7Points per game83.9H 83.2 · A 84.7
78.3H 79.2 · A 77.3Conceded78.0H 72.8 · A 83.2
50.8%H 50.3% · A 51.3%FG, %49.1%H 51.0% · A 47.2%
50.0H 33.3 · A 66.71st half66.7A 50.0
78.6H 80.2 · A 77.0Pace74.2H 69.9 · A 78.4
115.3H 112.5 · A 118.3Offensive rating113.4H 120.0 · A 107.4
98.7H 96.3 · A 101.2Defensive rating105.4H 111.6 · A 99.8
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
91.4
Points per game
83.9
66.7%
O 84.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 85.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 86.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 87.5srednee
41.7%
66.7%
O 88.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 89.5
33.3%
58.3%
O 90.5
33.3%
58.3%
O 91.5
25.0%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
25.0%
O 102.5
8.3%
16.7%
O 103.5
8.3%
16.7%
O 104.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 105.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 106.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 107.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 109.5
0.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 43.6 / Townsville Flames (w) 43.0
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
66.7%
O 41.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 42.5
41.7%
41.7%
O 43.5srednee
41.7%
41.7%
O 44.5
41.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 47.8 / Townsville Flames (w) 40.0
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
91.7%
O 42.5
33.3%
83.3%
O 43.5srednee
33.3%
66.7%
O 44.5
25.0%
58.3%
O 45.5
25.0%
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Match center
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
market consensus · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5
1.82
Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5
1.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.07 48.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 100.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 101.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 102.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 146.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 147.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 148.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 149.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 150.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 151.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 152.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 153.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 154.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 155.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 156.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.16 86.2% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
Match center
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
W
W
L
W
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
108:81
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
95:85
Northside Wizards
Northside Wizards
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
81:84
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
95:83
Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
3
Wins
1
Losses
94.8
Scored
83.3
Conceded
75%
Win percentage
Townsville Flames (w)
L
W
W
W
L
Townsville Flames (w)
75:83
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
Townsville Flames (w)
104:69
Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
93:71
Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
76:61
Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)
Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
83:95
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
3
Wins
2
Losses
86.2
Scored
75.8
Conceded
60%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMackay Mertteorettes (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
1
matches total
Mackay Mertteorettes (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Townsville Flames (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh) 95:83 (22.05 06:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
178 goals (95:83, 22.05 06:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
95:83
Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)