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Australia. Women. NBL 1
Australia. Women. NBL 1
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Women. NBL 1

North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Dolphins (w)

Basketball
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
99 : 95
Finished
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Cairns Dolphins (w) — 81%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Dolphins (w) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cairns Dolphins (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 10.1%
2 89.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

North Gold Coast Seahawks
Overall LWWLW Net -7.3
Home LWW Net +1.7
Away WLL Net -20.0
Cairns Dolphins (w)
Overall WWWLW Net +33.4
Home WW Net +54.0
Away WWLW Net +15.7

Team stats

North Gold Coast Seahawks Overall · Home/Away Cairns Dolphins (w)
41.7%H 42.9% · A 40.0%Win %92.3%H 100.0% · A 85.7%
-7.3H 1.7 · A -20.0Point differential33.4H 54.0 · A 15.7
80.6H 81.6 · A 79.2Points per game90.9H 93.7 · A 88.4
84.3H 80.7 · A 89.2Conceded74.2H 66.7 · A 80.6
43.4%H 43.4% · A 43.4%FG, %51.3%H 51.7% · A 51.0%
50.0H 57.1 · A 40.01st half69.2A 57.1
73.5H 75.6 · A 70.6Pace81.0H 82.1 · A 80.1
111.8H 107.4 · A 118.6Offensive rating112.0H 111.6 · A 112.2
116.9H 112.3 · A 124.0Defensive rating91.4H 91.1 · A 91.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Dolphins (w)
80.6 Points per game 90.9
50.0%
O 82.5
92.3%
41.7%
O 83.5
92.3%
33.3%
O 84.5
84.6%
33.3%
O 85.5среднее
84.6%
33.3%
O 86.5
76.9%
33.3%
O 87.5
69.2%
33.3%
O 88.5
61.5%
33.3%
O 89.5
61.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Dolphins (w)
0.0%
O 101.5
15.4%
0.0%
O 102.5
15.4%
0.0%
O 103.5
7.7%
0.0%
O 104.5
7.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: North Gold Coast Seahawks 41.1 / Cairns Dolphins (w) 45.0

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Dolphins (w)
50.0%
O 41.5
69.2%
50.0%
O 42.5
69.2%
41.7%
O 43.5среднее
61.5%
41.7%
O 44.5
53.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: North Gold Coast Seahawks — / Cairns Dolphins (w) 45.9

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Dolphins (w)
50.0%
O 41.5
69.2%
41.7%
O 42.5
69.2%
25.0%
O 43.5
69.2%
25.0%
O 44.5среднее
61.5%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Dolphins (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% — —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.43 69.9%
— — 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.42 70.4%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% — —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 160.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 161.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 162.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 164.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 165.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 166.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 167.5 1.81 55.3% — 2.60 38.5%
Over 168.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 2.95 33.9%
Over 169.5 1.84 54.4% — 1.35 74.1%
Under 167.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 168.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 169.5 1.83 54.6% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 9.00 11.1% 5.60 17.9%
1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
North Gold Coast Seahawks
W L W L W
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
North Gold Coast Seahawks 83:75 Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)Taunsvill Fleymz (Zh)
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
North Gold Coast Seahawks 81:108 Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
06.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
North Gold Coast Seahawks 100:83 Ipsvich Fors (Zh)Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
29.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
North Gold Coast Seahawks 66:85 Logan Thunder (Zh)Logan Thunder (Zh)
24.05 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
North Gold Coast Seahawks 95:78 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
85.0 Scored
85.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Cairns Dolphins (w)
W W W W W
03.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 86:79 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 90:82 Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 103:90 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
30.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 87:78 Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)
23.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Cairns Dolphins (w) 84:81 Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
90.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage