Match center
Start
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. Women. NBL 1
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
83
:
80
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
2Townsville Flames (w) — 69%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rockhampton Cyclones (w) - Townsville Flames (w) July 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Rockhampton Cyclones (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.63 / 2 2.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
56.9%
2
43.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Overall
WLWLL
Net -18.8
Home
WLL
Net -26.7
Away
WLL
Net -11.0
Townsville Flames (w)
Overall
WWWLW
Net +12.5
Home
WWLW
Net +20.7
Away
WW
Net +5.4
Team stats
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Overall · Home/Away
Townsville Flames (w)
25.0%H 16.7% · A 33.3%Win %69.2%H 66.7% · A 71.4%
-18.8H -26.7 · A -11.0Point differential12.5H 20.7 · A 5.4
75.9H 72.2 · A 79.7Points per game84.2H 83.2 · A 85.1
85.3H 85.5 · A 85.2Conceded78.0H 72.8 · A 82.4
40.8%H 34.5% · A 47.2%FG, %49.3%H 51.0% · A 47.9%
25.0H 0.0 · A 50.01st half61.5A 42.9
77.8H 84.8 · A 70.9Pace74.1H 69.9 · A 77.7
98.3H 89.9 · A 108.4Offensive rating113.8H 120.5 · A 108.6
110.5H 101.0 · A 121.9Defensive rating105.4H 111.6 · A 100.6
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
75.9
Points per game
84.2
58.3%
O 76.5
69.2%
58.3%
O 77.5
61.5%
41.7%
O 78.5
61.5%
33.3%
O 79.5
61.5%
33.3%
O 80.5srednee
61.5%
33.3%
O 81.5
61.5%
16.7%
O 82.5
53.8%
16.7%
O 83.5
46.2%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
0.0%
O 101.5
7.7%
0.0%
O 102.5
7.7%
0.0%
O 103.5
7.7%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Rockhampton Cyclones (w) — / Townsville Flames (w) 42.3
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
33.3%
O 40.5
53.8%
33.3%
O 41.5
46.2%
16.7%
O 42.5srednee
38.5%
8.3%
O 43.5
38.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Rockhampton Cyclones (w) — / Townsville Flames (w) 41.1
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
Total (over)
Townsville Flames (w)
33.3%
O 40.5
46.2%
33.3%
O 41.5srednee
38.5%
33.3%
O 42.5
38.5%
33.3%
O 43.5
38.5%
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Match center
Rockhampton Cyclones (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.15
Fonbet · line only
1
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 147.5
1.58
Fonbet · line only
Over 148.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.89 52.9% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 147.5 | — | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 159.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 160.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 158.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 159.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 160.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 1.63 61.4% | 3.57 28.0% | |
| 1.24 80.7% | 1.28 78.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
Match center
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
L
W
L
L
L
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
90:103
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
Kerns Dolfins (Zh)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
79:74
Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
78:83
South West Metro Pirates
South West Metro Pirates
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
82:87
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
66:74
Northside Wizards
Northside Wizards
1
Wins
4
Losses
79.0
Scored
84.2
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Townsville Flames (w)
W
L
W
W
W
Townsville Flames (w)
88:78
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
Mackay Meteorettes (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
75:83
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
Townsville Flames (w)
104:69
Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
93:71
Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
Townsville Flames (w)
76:61
Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)
Gold Kost Rollers (Zh)
4
Wins
1
Losses
87.2
Scored
72.4
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRockhampton Cyclones (w) - Townsville Flames (w)
Rockhampton Cyclones (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals