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Australia. Women. NBL 1
Australia. Women. NBL 1
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. Women. NBL 1

South West Metro Pirates - Logan Thunder (Zh)

Basketball
South West Metro Pirates
South West Metro Pirates
73 : 82
Finished
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Logan Thunder (Zh) — 77%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction South West Metro Pirates - Logan Thunder (Zh) July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Logan Thunder (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 12.4%
2 87.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins7
27.3%Win %63.6%
80.0Points per game89.3
113.9Offensive rating105.7
127.1Defensive rating94.7
-9.3Point differential9.3
51.4Assists54.0
103.2Rebounds126.9
37.8%3-pointers, %46.0%

Team form

South West Metro Pirates
Overall LWWWW Net -30.2
Home WW Net -19.2
Away LWWL Net -37.0
Logan Thunder (Zh)
Overall WLWWL Net +26.4
Home LWW Net +22.7
Away WWL Net +30.8

Team stats

South West Metro Pirates Overall · Home/Away Logan Thunder (Zh)
30.8%H 40.0% · A 25.0%Win %72.7%H 66.7% · A 80.0%
-30.2H -19.2 · A -37.0Point differential26.4H 22.7 · A 30.8
85.8H 86.2 · A 85.5Points per game102.6H 100.8 · A 104.8
100.9H 95.8 · A 104.0Conceded89.5H 89.5 · A 89.4
50.0%H 53.4% · A 47.9%FG, %55.7%H 58.0% · A 53.0%
30.8H 40.0 · A 25.01st half—A 80.0
76.0H 65.9 · A 82.3Pace79.2H 75.1 · A 84.1
114.5H 134.7 · A 104.7Offensive rating128.5H 135.7 · A 120.9
134.6H 158.4 · A 123.1Defensive rating112.0H 118.2 · A 105.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

South West Metro Pirates Total (over) Logan Thunder (Zh)
85.8 Points per game 102.6
38.5%
O 90.5
90.9%
38.5%
O 91.5
90.9%
38.5%
O 92.5
90.9%
38.5%
O 93.5
81.8%
38.5%
O 94.5среднее
81.8%
38.5%
O 95.5
72.7%
30.8%
O 96.5
63.6%
30.8%
O 97.5
63.6%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

South West Metro Pirates Total (over) Logan Thunder (Zh)
7.7%
O 108.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 109.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 110.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 111.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 112.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 113.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 114.5
18.2%
7.7%
O 115.5
18.2%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: South West Metro Pirates 45.5 / Logan Thunder (Zh) 53.6

South West Metro Pirates Total (over) Logan Thunder (Zh)
38.5%
O 48.5
90.9%
38.5%
O 49.5среднее
90.9%
38.5%
O 50.5
81.8%
30.8%
O 51.5
72.7%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: South West Metro Pirates 40.3 / Logan Thunder (Zh) 49.0

South West Metro Pirates Total (over) Logan Thunder (Zh)
30.8%
O 43.5
63.6%
23.1%
O 44.5среднее
63.6%
15.4%
O 45.5
63.6%
15.4%
O 46.5
54.5%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

South West Metro Pirates - Logan Thunder (Zh)

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 154.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.87 53.5% —
1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 154.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 155.5 1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0%
Over 156.5 — 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 184.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 185.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 186.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 187.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 188.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 154.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 155.5 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 156.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.50 13.3%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
South West Metro Pirates
L W W L L
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
South West Metro Pirates 66:90 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
06.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
South West Metro Pirates 83:78 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
31.05 01:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
South West Metro Pirates 74:61 Ipsvich Fors (Zh)Ipsvich Fors (Zh)
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
South West Metro Pirates 63:82 Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)Brisben Kepitalz (Zh)
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
South West Metro Pirates 68:75 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
2 Wins
3 Losses
70.8 Scored
77.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Logan Thunder (Zh)
W W W W
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Logan Thunder (Zh) 91:71 Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)Sautern Distrikt Spartans (Zh)
05.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Logan Thunder (Zh) 87:82 Rokkhempton (Zh)Rokkhempton (Zh)
30.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Logan Thunder (Zh) 92:81 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks (Zh)
29.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North - Women
Logan Thunder (Zh) 85:66 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
4 Wins
0 Losses
88.8 Scored
75.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage