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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
30.05.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
30.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Brisbane Capitals - South West Metro Pirates

Basketball
Brisbane Capitals
Brisbane Capitals
104 : 88
Finished
South West Metro Pirates
South West Metro Pirates

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brisbane Capitals - South West Metro Pirates May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brisbane Capitals. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Brisbane Capitals
1-4LLLLW
points for 92.5points against 96.3
South West Metro Pirates
3-7LWLLWWLLLL
points for 68.3points against 79.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Brisbane Capitals - South West Metro Pirates

Array

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 102.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
2.65 37.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.30 43.5%
1.73 57.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.47 68.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.78 56.2%
1.55 64.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.55 39.2%
2.65 37.7%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 102.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 140.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 141.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 142.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 143.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 144.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 145.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 146.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 147.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 148.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 149.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 150.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 151.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 152.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 153.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 154.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 155.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Brisbane Capitals
W
22.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Brisbane Capitals 100:88 Northside Wizards (Zh)Northside Wizards (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
100.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
South West Metro Pirates
L
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
South West Metro Pirates 68:75 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
0 Wins
1 Losses
68.0 Scored
75.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage