PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
03.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Brisbane Capitals - Sunshine Coast Phoenix

Basketball
Brisbane Capitals
Brisbane Capitals
99 : 92
Finished
S
Sunshine Coast Phoenix

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brisbane Capitals - Sunshine Coast Phoenix July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sunshine Coast Phoenix. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 10.1%
2 89.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins2
50.0%Win %50.0%
89.5Points per game87.3
92.7Offensive rating105.4
90.4Defensive rating108.1
2.3Point differential-2.3
57.0Assists55.5
114.8Rebounds114.0
29.8%3-pointers, %36.5%

Team form

Brisbane Capitals
Overall LLLLW Net -7.5
Home LLLW Net -6.7
Away LL Net -8.3
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
Overall LLWLL Net -26.0
Home LLL Net -37.7
Away WLL Net -9.6

Team stats

Brisbane Capitals Overall · Home/Away Sunshine Coast Phoenix
46.2%H 50.0% · A 42.9%Win %16.7%H 0.0% · A 40.0%
-7.5H -6.7 · A -8.3Point differential-26.0H -37.7 · A -9.6
92.5H 93.5 · A 91.7Points per game85.4H 84.1 · A 87.2
96.3H 96.8 · A 95.9Conceded98.4H 103.0 · A 92.0
51.5%H 51.0% · A 52.0%FG, %48.3%H 47.6% · A 49.2%
38.5H 33.3 · A 42.91st half8.3H 0.0 · A 20.0
76.7H 78.9 · A 74.8Pace77.6H 79.1 · A 75.4
122.5H 117.7 · A 127.0Offensive rating112.4H 109.8 · A 116.1
127.5H 122.5 · A 132.1Defensive rating129.5H 126.5 · A 133.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Brisbane Capitals Total (over) Sunshine Coast Phoenix
92.5 Points per game 85.4
61.5%
O 85.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 86.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 87.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 88.5среднее
41.7%
53.8%
O 89.5
33.3%
53.8%
O 90.5
25.0%
53.8%
O 91.5
25.0%
46.2%
O 92.5
25.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Brisbane Capitals Total (over) Sunshine Coast Phoenix
23.1%
O 103.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 104.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 105.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 106.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 107.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 108.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 109.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 110.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Brisbane Capitals 46.9 / Sunshine Coast Phoenix 42.2

Brisbane Capitals Total (over) Sunshine Coast Phoenix
61.5%
O 43.5
41.7%
61.5%
O 44.5среднее
41.7%
46.2%
O 45.5
33.3%
38.5%
O 46.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Brisbane Capitals 44.2 / Sunshine Coast Phoenix 43.3

Brisbane Capitals Total (over) Sunshine Coast Phoenix
46.2%
O 42.5
50.0%
38.5%
O 43.5среднее
33.3%
30.8%
O 44.5
33.3%
30.8%
O 45.5
33.3%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Brisbane Capitals - Sunshine Coast Phoenix

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 139.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 140.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.88 53.2% — —
1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% —
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.81 55.3% —
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% —
1.78 56.2% — —
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% —
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.89 52.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 139.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 140.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 141.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 142.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 143.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 144.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 145.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 146.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 147.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 148.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 149.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 150.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 151.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 188.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% —
Under 188.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 9.00 11.1% 2.34 42.7%
1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Brisbane Capitals
L L W W
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Brisbane Capitals 89:114 Kerns MarlinsKerns Marlins
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Brisbane Capitals 92:110 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
30.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Brisbane Capitals 104:88 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
22.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Brisbane Capitals 100:88 Northside WizardsNorthside Wizards
2 Wins
2 Losses
96.3 Scored
100.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
L W W W W
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 92:102 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 84:78 Northside WizardsNorthside Wizards
31.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 106:84 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
30.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 116:87 Logan TanderLogan Tander
24.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 123:88 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
4 Wins
1 Losses
104.2 Scored
87.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage