Match center
Start
10.07.2026 08:00 UTC
10.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished
Australia. NBL 1
Cairns Marlins - Logan Thunder
93
:
82
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cairns Marlins - Logan Thunder July 10, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / 2 2.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 3.8%
1
59.9%
2
40.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Cairns Marlins
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
points for 89.3points against 77.4
Logan Thunder
9-1WLWWWWWWWW
points for 86.2points against 73.7
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Cairns Marlins - Logan Thunder
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.34
market consensus · line only
1
1.56
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 188.5
1.86
market consensus · line only
Over 189.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 188.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 189.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 188.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 189.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.56 64.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.61 62.1% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.39 41.8% |
Match center
Cairns Marlins
W
W
W
W
W
Cairns Marlins
96:83
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
Cairns Marlins
99:83
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Cairns Marlins
114:89
Brisben Kepitalz
Brisben Kepitalz
Cairns Marlins
118:85
Rokkhempton Rokets
Rokkhempton Rokets
Cairns Marlins
103:98
Gold Kost Rollers
Gold Kost Rollers
5
Wins
0
Losses
106.0
Scored
87.6
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Logan Thunder
W
W
W
W
L
Logan Thunder
101:86
Northside Wizards
Northside Wizards
Logan Thunder
112:85
South West Metro Pirates
South West Metro Pirates
Logan Thunder
124:84
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Logan Thunder
117:92
Rokkhempton Rokets
Rokkhempton Rokets
Logan Thunder
87:116
Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
4
Wins
1
Losses
108.2
Scored
92.6
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCairns Marlins - Logan Thunder
Cairns Marlins
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals