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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
17.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Cairns Marlins - Rockhampton Rockets

Basketball
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
116 : 91
Finished
Rockhampton Rockets
Rockhampton Rockets
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cairns Marlins — 90%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cairns Marlins): model 67% · market 91% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cairns Marlins ✓ Pick89.5%
market91%
2 · Rockhampton Rockets10.5%
market9%

Model estimate: win Cairns Marlins 89.5%, win Rockhampton Rockets 10.5%. Model favourite — Cairns Marlins.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cairns Marlins (odds1.48) Score 83:77 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kerns Marlins: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Rokkhempton Rokets: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Kerns Marlins: probability 67% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Marlins - Rockhampton Rockets July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cairns Marlins.

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Cairns Marlins 89.5% / Rockhampton Rockets 10.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 ✓ Pick 91.2%
2 8.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Cairns Marlins
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
points for 89.3points against 77.4
Rockhampton Rockets
0-5LLLLL
points for 94.4points against 106.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Cairns Marlins - Rockhampton Rockets

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 116:91
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cairns Marlins 91.2% 89.5% market and model agree
Rockhampton Rockets 8.8% 10.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 89.5% / 10.5% probabilities
Rating 2,197 / 757 Cairns Marlins / Rockhampton Rockets
RD 213 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,771-2,623 / 407-1,107 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus · no value · model 10.5%
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 89.5%
Total
Over 198.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 199.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% —
1.84 54.4% — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 198.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Over 199.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Under 198.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 199.5 1.86 53.8% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.06 94.3%
10.00 10.0% 11.00 9.1% 10.20 9.8%
Match center
Cairns Marlins
W W W W W
10.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 93:82 Logan TanderLogan Tander
04.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 96:83 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
03.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 99:83 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 114:89 Brisben KepitalzBrisben Kepitalz
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 118:85 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
5 Wins
0 Losses
104.0 Scored
84.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Rockhampton Rockets
L L L L L
11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Rockhampton Rockets 103:111 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Rockhampton Rockets 90:102 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Rockhampton Rockets 85:118 Kerns MarlinsKerns Marlins
07.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Rockhampton Rockets 106:112 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Rockhampton Rockets 111:122 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
0 Wins
5 Losses
99.0 Scored
113.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCairns Marlins - Rockhampton Rockets

Cairns Marlins
1 matches total
Rockhampton Rockets
Cairns Marlins: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rockhampton Rockets: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kerns Marlins 118:85 (12.06 08:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 203 goals (118:85, 12.06 08:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Kerns Marlins
118:85
Rokkhempton Rokets