Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Logan Thunder - Northside Wizards

Basketball
Logan Thunder
Logan Thunder
101 : 86
Finished
Northside Wizards
Northside Wizards
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Logan Thunder82%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Logan Thunder — odds 1.28 · edge +3.5% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Logan Thunder - Northside Wizards July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Logan Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 6.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 86.9%
2 13.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins2
60.0%Win %40.0%
95.0Points per game90.0
105.0Offensive rating102.4
99.4Defensive rating108.1
5.0Point differential-5.0
52.5Assists45.0
111.6Rebounds94.8
42.4%3-pointers, %37.4%

Team form

Logan Thunder
Overall WWLWW Net +28.7
Home LW Net +22.7
Away WWWL Net +34.7
Northside Wizards
Overall WLLLW Net -13.2
Home WLLW Net -6.7
Away LW Net -19.7

Team stats

Logan Thunder Overall · Home/Away Northside Wizards
75.0%H 66.7% · A 83.3%Win %33.3%H 33.3% · A 33.3%
28.7H 22.7 · A 34.7Point differential-13.2H -6.7 · A -19.7
103.4H 100.8 · A 106.0Points per game92.0H 90.5 · A 93.5
89.1H 89.5 · A 88.7Conceded98.6H 93.8 · A 103.3
54.7%H 58.0% · A 51.3%FG, %46.7%H 47.3% · A 46.0%
1st half50.0H 66.7 · A 33.3
80.3H 75.1 · A 85.5Pace80.3H 79.4 · A 81.2
128.0H 136.7 · A 120.3Offensive rating115.8H 117.9 · A 113.8
110.2H 117.7 · A 103.6Defensive rating124.1H 126.4 · A 121.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Logan Thunder Total (over) Northside Wizards
103.4 Points per game 92.0
83.3%
O 93.5
41.7%
83.3%
O 94.5
41.7%
75.0%
O 95.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 96.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 97.5среднее
33.3%
66.7%
O 98.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 99.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 100.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Logan Thunder Total (over) Northside Wizards
25.0%
O 108.5
8.3%
25.0%
O 109.5
8.3%
25.0%
O 110.5
8.3%
25.0%
O 111.5
8.3%
16.7%
O 112.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 113.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 114.5
0.0%
16.7%
O 115.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Logan Thunder 53.8 / Northside Wizards 47.8

Logan Thunder Total (over) Northside Wizards
91.7%
O 49.5
33.3%
83.3%
O 50.5среднее
33.3%
75.0%
O 51.5
33.3%
66.7%
O 52.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Logan Thunder 49.7 / Northside Wizards 42.8

Logan Thunder Total (over) Northside Wizards
66.7%
O 44.5
41.7%
66.7%
O 45.5
33.3%
58.3%
O 46.5среднее
25.0%
50.0%
O 47.5
8.3%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Logan Thunder
  • Founded in 2008
Northside Wizards
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Logan Thunder - Northside Wizards

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.45 40.8%
2.17 46.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 163.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 164.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 165.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 171.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 173.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 191.5 1.81 55.3%
Over 192.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%
Under 191.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 192.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2% 1.16 86.2%
5.50 18.2% 6.40 15.6% 6.90 14.5% 5.60 17.9%
Match center
Logan Thunder
W W W L W
03.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 112:85 South West Metro PiratesSouth West Metro Pirates
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 124:84 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
05.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 117:92 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
30.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 87:116 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
29.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 95:78 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
4 Wins
1 Losses
107.0 Scored
91.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Northside Wizards
L L W L W
14.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Northside Wizards 81:121 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Northside Wizards 78:84 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
30.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Northside Wizards 112:95 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
29.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Northside Wizards 92:114 Mackay MeteorsMackay Meteors
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Northside Wizards 101:92 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
2 Wins
3 Losses
92.8 Scored
101.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage