Australia. NBL 1

03.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

03.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat

Basketball

Mackay Meteors

95 : 77

Finished

Townsville Heat

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Mackay Meteors — 70%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mackay Meteors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / 2 3.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.1%

1 71.2%

2 28.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins3

50.0%Win %50.0%

82.7Points per game85.2

105.6Offensive rating120.3

108.8Defensive rating116.8

-2.5Point differential2.5

56.0Assists63.0

114.0Rebounds124.0

29.2%3-pointers, %31.7%

Team form

Mackay Meteors

Overall LWWWW Net -30.2

Home WW Net -19.2

Away LWWL Net -37.0

Townsville Heat

Overall LLLLW Net -21.0

Home LLLL Net -21.7

Away LW Net -20.3

Team stats

Mackay Meteors Overall · Home/Away Townsville Heat

30.8%H 40.0% · A 25.0%Win %25.0%H 16.7% · A 33.3%

-30.2H -19.2 · A -37.0Point differential-21.0H -21.7 · A -20.3

85.8H 86.2 · A 85.5Points per game88.1H 88.3 · A 87.8

100.9H 95.8 · A 104.0Conceded98.6H 99.2 · A 98.0

50.0%H 53.4% · A 47.9%FG, %47.8%H 46.8% · A 48.8%

30.8H 40.0 · A 25.01st half41.7H 66.7 · A 16.7

76.0H 65.9 · A 82.3Pace83.2H 82.9 · A 83.6

114.5H 134.7 · A 104.7Offensive rating106.4H 108.5 · A 104.4

134.6H 158.4 · A 123.1Defensive rating119.1H 121.4 · A 116.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Mackay Meteors Total (over) Townsville Heat

85.8 Points per game 88.1

46.2%

O 83.5

66.7%

46.2%

O 84.5

66.7%

46.2%

O 85.5

66.7%

46.2%

O 86.5srednee

58.3%

46.2%

O 87.5

50.0%

38.5%

O 88.5

50.0%

38.5%

O 89.5

41.7%

38.5%

O 90.5

41.7%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Mackay Meteors Total (over) Townsville Heat

7.7%

O 107.5

8.3%

7.7%

O 108.5

8.3%

7.7%

O 109.5

8.3%

7.7%

O 110.5

0.0%

7.7%

O 111.5

0.0%

7.7%

O 112.5

0.0%

7.7%

O 113.5

0.0%

7.7%

O 114.5

0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Mackay Meteors 45.5 / Townsville Heat 44.3

Mackay Meteors Total (over) Townsville Heat

53.8%

O 43.5

50.0%

38.5%

O 44.5srednee

41.7%

38.5%

O 45.5

41.7%

38.5%

O 46.5

41.7%

2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Mackay Meteors 40.3 / Townsville Heat 43.8

Mackay Meteors Total (over) Townsville Heat

53.8%

O 40.5

58.3%

38.5%

O 41.5

50.0%

38.5%

O 42.5srednee

50.0%

30.8%

O 43.5

50.0%

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Match center

Start 03.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Match center

Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.28 market consensus · line only

1 1.31 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 192.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Over 193.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9%	1.81 55.3%	1.90 52.6%
—	—	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 192.5	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	—
Over 193.5	1.81 55.3%	1.83 54.6%	—
Over 194.5	1.81 55.3%	—	—
Over 195.5	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.90 52.6%
Over 196.5	1.84 54.4%	—	—
Under 192.5	1.86 53.8%	1.88 53.2%	—
Under 193.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	—
Under 194.5	1.86 53.8%	—	—
Under 195.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%
Under 196.5	1.83 54.6%	—	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%	1.35 74.1%
	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.33 30.0%

Match center

Mackay Meteors

W W L W

12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Mackay Meteors 99:84 North Gold Coast Seahawks

29.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Mackay Meteors 114:92 Northside Wizards

23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Mackay Meteors 83:110 Kerns Marlins

22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Mackay Meteors 92:89 Taunsvill Khit

3 Wins

1 Losses

97.0 Scored

93.8 Conceded

75% Win percentage

Townsville Heat

L L W L L

13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 87:90 North Gold Coast Seahawks

07.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 101:117 Sautern Distrikt Spartans

06.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 110:92 Brisben Kepitalz

29.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 83:110 Gold Kost Rollers

22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Townsville Heat 89:92 Mackay Meteors

1 Wins

4 Losses

94.0 Scored

100.2 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMackay Meteors - Townsville Heat

Mackay Meteors

1 matches total

Townsville Heat

Mackay Meteors: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Townsville Heat: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Mackay Meteors 92:89 (22.05 08:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 181 goals (92:89, 22.05 08:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

22.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North

Mackay Meteors

92:89

Taunsvill Khit