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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Marlins

Basketball
North Gold Coast Seahawks
North Gold Coast Seahawks
83 : 96
Finished
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Cairns Marlins — 89%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Marlins 4 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 10.20 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 9.4%
2 90.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins2
33.3%Win %66.7%
87.7Points per game94.7
—Offensive rating159.0
—Defensive rating147.3
-7.0Point differential7.0
39.0Assists39.0
118.0Rebounds96.0
47.7%3-pointers, %43.3%

Team form

North Gold Coast Seahawks
Overall LLWLL Net -26.0
Home LLL Net -37.7
Away WLL Net -9.6
Cairns Marlins
Overall WWWWW Net +42.2
Home WW Net +47.3
Away WWWW Net +37.7

Team stats

North Gold Coast Seahawks Overall · Home/Away Cairns Marlins
16.7%H 0.0% · A 40.0%Win %100.0%H 100.0% · A 100.0%
-26.0H -37.7 · A -9.6Point differential42.2H 47.3 · A 37.7
85.4H 84.1 · A 87.2Points per game104.4H 104.2 · A 104.6
98.4H 103.0 · A 92.0Conceded83.3H 80.5 · A 85.7
48.3%H 47.6% · A 49.2%FG, %54.8%H 51.7% · A 57.4%
8.3H 0.0 · A 20.01st half—
77.6H 79.1 · A 75.4Pace81.3H 86.3 · A 77.2
112.4H 109.8 · A 116.1Offensive rating126.8H 118.8 · A 134.5
129.5H 126.5 · A 133.8Defensive rating101.2H 94.8 · A 107.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Marlins
85.4 Points per game 104.4
25.0%
O 91.5
100.0%
25.0%
O 92.5
100.0%
25.0%
O 93.5
100.0%
25.0%
O 94.5среднее
100.0%
16.7%
O 95.5
92.3%
16.7%
O 96.5
84.6%
16.7%
O 97.5
76.9%
8.3%
O 98.5
76.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Marlins
0.0%
O 105.5
46.2%
0.0%
O 106.5
38.5%
0.0%
O 107.5
38.5%
0.0%
O 108.5
38.5%
0.0%
O 109.5
30.8%
0.0%
O 110.5
23.1%
0.0%
O 111.5
15.4%
0.0%
O 112.5
15.4%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: North Gold Coast Seahawks 42.2 / Cairns Marlins 51.9

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Marlins
33.3%
O 45.5
100.0%
33.3%
O 46.5
100.0%
16.7%
O 47.5среднее
84.6%
8.3%
O 48.5
69.2%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: North Gold Coast Seahawks 43.3 / Cairns Marlins 52.5

North Gold Coast Seahawks Total (over) Cairns Marlins
33.3%
O 46.5
76.9%
25.0%
O 47.5среднее
76.9%
16.7%
O 48.5
69.2%
16.7%
O 49.5
53.8%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

North Gold Coast Seahawks - Cairns Marlins

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 market consensus · line only
1 9.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 186.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 187.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 +18.5 1.84 54.4% — —
П1 +19.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% —
П1 +20.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -18.5 1.83 54.6% — —
П2 -19.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% —
П2 -20.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 186.5 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% —
ТБ 187.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 186.5 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% —
ТМ 187.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
П1 9.20 10.9% 10.20 9.8%
П2 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
North Gold Coast Seahawks
W L L L L
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks 90:87 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks 84:99 Mackay MeteorsMackay Meteors
06.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks 74:86 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
29.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks 78:95 Logan TanderLogan Tander
24.05 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks 78:104 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
1 Wins
4 Losses
80.8 Scored
94.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Cairns Marlins
W W W W W
03.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 99:83 Sautern Distrikt SpartansSautern Distrikt Spartans
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 114:89 Brisben KepitalzBrisben Kepitalz
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 118:85 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
30.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 103:98 Gold Kost RollersGold Kost Rollers
23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 110:83 Mackay MeteorsMackay Meteors
5 Wins
0 Losses
108.8 Scored
87.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage