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Australia: NBL 1 North
Australia: NBL 1 North
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 North

Sautern Distrikt Spartans - Cairns Marlins

Basketball
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
83 : 99
Finished
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Cairns Marlins — 78%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sautern Distrikt Spartans - Cairns Marlins July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 26.1%
2 73.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

10Wins2
83.3%Win %16.7%
98.8Points per game83.3
109.7Offensive rating93.4
92.4Defensive rating110.9
15.6Point differential-15.6
61.2Assists51.6
127.5Rebounds114.5
39.9%3-pointers, %32.4%

Team form

Sautern Distrikt Spartans
Overall WLWWL Net -4.0
Home LW Net -7.8
Away WWWL Net -0.3
Cairns Marlins
Overall LLLLL Net -31.1
Home LLL Net -30.8
Away LLL Net -31.5

Team stats

Sautern Distrikt Spartans Overall · Home/Away Cairns Marlins
50.0%H 37.5% · A 62.5%Win %12.5%H 12.5% · A 12.5%
-4.0H -7.8 · A -0.3Point differential-31.1H -30.8 · A -31.5
90.5H 92.3 · A 88.8Points per game90.2H 89.6 · A 90.8
92.5H 96.1 · A 88.9Conceded105.8H 105.0 · A 106.5
53.6%H 50.3% · A 57.0%FG, %46.3%H 45.4% · A 47.3%
50.0H 37.5 · A 62.51st half25.0H 25.0 · A 25.0
72.3H 74.6 · A 70.0Pace83.3H 83.3 · A 83.3
124.5H 120.2 · A 129.1Offensive rating109.3H 108.3 · A 110.5
127.3H 122.9 · A 132.0Defensive rating128.2H 126.9 · A 129.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Sautern Distrikt Spartans Total (over) Cairns Marlins
90.5 Points per game 90.2
56.3%
O 86.5
50.0%
56.3%
O 87.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 88.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 89.5
50.0%
43.8%
O 90.5srednee
43.8%
37.5%
O 91.5
43.8%
25.0%
O 92.5
37.5%
25.0%
O 93.5
37.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Sautern Distrikt Spartans Total (over) Cairns Marlins
18.8%
O 104.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 105.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 106.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 107.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 108.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 109.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 110.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 111.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Sautern Distrikt Spartans 46.7 / Cairns Marlins 43.6

Sautern Distrikt Spartans Total (over) Cairns Marlins
62.5%
O 43.5
50.0%
62.5%
O 44.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 45.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 46.5
43.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Sautern Distrikt Spartans 43.8 / Cairns Marlins 44.7

Sautern Distrikt Spartans Total (over) Cairns Marlins
43.8%
O 42.5
62.5%
37.5%
O 43.5
62.5%
37.5%
O 44.5srednee
56.3%
37.5%
O 45.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Sautern Distrikt Spartans - Cairns Marlins

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.27 market consensus · line only
1 3.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 189.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 190.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.88 53.2% — —
— 1.81 55.3% —
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
1.78 56.2% — —
— 1.89 52.9% —
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 189.5 1.80 55.6% — —
Over 190.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 192.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 189.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 190.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Under 192.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.69 27.1%
1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Sautern Distrikt Spartans
L L W L L
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sautern Distrikt Spartans 84:124 Logan TanderLogan Tander
12.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sautern Distrikt Spartans 87:136 Gold Kost RollersGold Kost Rollers
07.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sautern Distrikt Spartans 117:101 Taunsvill KhitTaunsvill Khit
31.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sautern Distrikt Spartans 84:106 Sanshayn-Kost Finiks
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sautern Distrikt Spartans 92:101 Northside WizardsNorthside Wizards
1 Wins
4 Losses
92.8 Scored
113.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Cairns Marlins
W W W W
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 114:89 Brisben KepitalzBrisben Kepitalz
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 118:85 Rokkhempton RoketsRokkhempton Rokets
30.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 103:98 Gold Kost RollersGold Kost Rollers
23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Cairns Marlins 110:83 Mackay MeteorsMackay Meteors
4 Wins
0 Losses
111.3 Scored
88.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage