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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
30.05.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
30.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder

Basketball
S
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
116 : 87
Finished
Logan Thunder
Logan Thunder

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sunshine Coast Phoenix. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 88.7%
2 11.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
1-4LLWLL
points for 85.4points against 98.4
Logan Thunder
9-1WLWWWWWWWW
points for 86.2points against 73.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder

Array

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 145.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
2.15 46.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.25 44.4%
1.65 60.6%
2.17 46.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.60 62.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 145.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 146.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 147.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 148.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 149.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 150.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 151.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 152.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 153.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 154.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 157.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 160.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 161.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 162.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 164.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
8.00 12.5%
Match center
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
W
24.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix 123:88 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
1 Wins
0 Losses
123.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Logan Thunder
W
29.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 North
Logan Thunder 95:78 North Gold Coast SeahawksNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
1 Wins
0 Losses
95.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage