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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Ballarat (Zh) - Northern Tasmania

Basketball
Ballarat (Zh)
Ballarat (Zh)
77 : 75
Finished
Northern Tasmania
Northern Tasmania

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ballarat (Zh) - Northern Tasmania June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Northern Tasmania. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 11.3%
2 88.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ballarat (Zh)
5-5LWLWLLWWLW
points for 85.1points against 81.9
Northern Tasmania
7-3WWWWWWLLWL
points for 85.8points against 83.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Ballarat (Zh) - Northern Tasmania

Array

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.02 49.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
1.52 65.8%
1.73 57.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.62 61.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 150.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 151.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 152.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 153.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 154.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 155.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 156.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 157.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 158.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 159.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 160.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 161.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 162.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 163.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 166.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 167.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 8.00 12.5% 1.30 76.9%
3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 1.02 98.0% 3.69 27.1%
Match center
Ballarat (Zh)
W L L W L
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Ballarat (Zh) 95:78 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Ballarat (Zh) 73:81 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
31.05 01:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Ballarat (Zh) 84:91 Noks (Zh)Noks (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Ballarat (Zh) 95:73 Gilong (Zh)Gilong (Zh)
24.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Ballarat (Zh) 94:98 Khobart (Zh)Khobart (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
88.2 Scored
84.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Northern Tasmania
L W W W
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Northern Tasmania 90:109 Mt. Gamber (Zh)Mt. Gamber (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Northern Tasmania 74:64 Khobart (Zh)Khobart (Zh)
24.05 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Northern Tasmania 72:68 Frankston (Zh)Frankston (Zh)
23.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Northern Tasmania 88:80 Gilong (Zh)Gilong (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
80.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage