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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
14.06.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder

Basketball
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
73 : 84
Finished
Keilor Thunder
Keilor Thunder

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Casey Cavaliers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
70.4Points on average86.4

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 156.8 (points)

Team form

Casey Cavaliers
6-4LWWWLLWWWL
points for 88.1points against 83.0
Keilor Thunder
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
points for 86.8points against 74.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder

Array

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.51 66.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.07 48.3%
2.37 42.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 75.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 76.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 77.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 94.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 95.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 96.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 97.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 155.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 184.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 185.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 186.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 187.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 188.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 189.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 190.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 191.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 192.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Fonbet Leon
1.56 64.1% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0%
2.23 44.8% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 2.07 48.3% 2.32 43.1%
Match center
Casey Cavaliers
L W
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Casey Cavaliers 78:95 Ballarat (Zh)Ballarat (Zh)
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Casey Cavaliers 83:70 Melburn Taygers (Zh)Melburn Taygers (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
80.5 Scored
82.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Keilor Thunder
W W W L
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 82:63 Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 81:73 Ballarat (Zh)Ballarat (Zh)
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 82:80 Melburn Taygers (Zh)Melburn Taygers (Zh)
24.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Keilor Thunder 90:95 Dandenong Reyndzhers (Zh)Dandenong Reyndzhers (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
83.8 Scored
77.8 Conceded
75% Win percentage