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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Khobart (Zh) - Univer Melbourne

Basketball
Khobart (Zh)
Khobart (Zh)
70 : 85
Finished
Univer Melbourne
Univer Melbourne

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khobart (Zh) - Univer Melbourne July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Univer Melbourne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

5Wins1
83.3%Win %16.7%
90.2Points per game86.2
123.0Offensive rating125.5
117.6Defensive rating131.3
4.0Point differential-4.0
46.5Assists46.5
118.5Rebounds98.0
35.2%3-pointers, %33.8%

Team form

Khobart (Zh)
Overall LLLLL Net -6.8
Home LLW Net +4.4
Away LLL Net -18.0
Univer Melbourne
Overall WWLLW Net +7.9
Home WLW Net +10.7
Away WLW Net +5.1

Team stats

Khobart (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Univer Melbourne
38.9%H 55.6% · A 22.2%Win %61.1%H 66.7% · A 55.6%
-6.8H 4.4 · A -18.0Point differential7.9H 10.7 · A 5.1
92.6H 93.3 · A 91.8Points per game93.9H 92.3 · A 95.6
95.9H 91.1 · A 100.8Conceded90.0H 87.0 · A 93.0
49.6%H 48.4% · A 50.7%FG, %52.7%H 54.7% · A 50.8%
55.6H 55.6 · A 55.61st half38.9H 55.6 · A 22.2
79.4H 79.3 · A 79.6Pace76.3H 73.6 · A 79.1
116.6H 115.6 · A 117.6Offensive rating122.9H 128.4 · A 117.9
120.9H 119.8 · A 121.9Defensive rating117.8H 123.1 · A 113.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Khobart (Zh) Total (over) Univer Melbourne
92.6 Points per game 93.9
50.0%
O 89.5
61.1%
50.0%
O 90.5
55.6%
50.0%
O 91.5
55.6%
50.0%
O 92.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 93.5srednee
44.4%
38.9%
O 94.5
44.4%
38.9%
O 95.5
44.4%
38.9%
O 96.5
38.9%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Khobart (Zh) Total (over) Univer Melbourne
11.1%
O 105.5
27.8%
11.1%
O 106.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 107.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 108.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 109.5
5.6%
5.6%
O 110.5
5.6%
5.6%
O 111.5
5.6%
5.6%
O 112.5
5.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Khobart (Zh) 46.2 / Univer Melbourne 46.4

Khobart (Zh) Total (over) Univer Melbourne
66.7%
O 44.5
50.0%
61.1%
O 45.5
50.0%
61.1%
O 46.5srednee
44.4%
50.0%
O 47.5
38.9%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Khobart (Zh) 46.4 / Univer Melbourne 47.5

Khobart (Zh) Total (over) Univer Melbourne
61.1%
O 45.5
61.1%
55.6%
O 46.5srednee
50.0%
38.9%
O 47.5
50.0%
38.9%
O 48.5
44.4%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Khobart (Zh) - Univer Melbourne

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 155.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.78 56.2% — —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% —
1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% —
1.83 54.6% — —
1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8% —
1.83 54.6% — —
1.88 53.2% — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.64 61.0%
1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 155.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 156.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 158.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 159.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 160.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.30 76.9%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.40 71.4%
Over 162.5 — — 1.57 63.7%
Over 163.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 164.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 160.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 161.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 11.00 9.1% 2.34 42.7%
1.56 64.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Khobart (Zh)
L W L W L
14.06 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Khobart (Zh) 84:96 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Khobart (Zh) 73:70 Frankston (Zh)Frankston (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Khobart (Zh) 64:74 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
24.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Khobart (Zh) 98:94 Ballarat (Zh)Ballarat (Zh)
23.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Khobart (Zh) 77:102 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
79.2 Scored
87.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Univer Melbourne
W L W L W
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 96:84 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 70:83 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
31.05 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 80:66 Nunavading (Zh)Nunavading (Zh)
30.05 05:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 80:82 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
23.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 78:68 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
80.8 Scored
76.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage