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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
18.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)

Basketball
K
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
112 : 98
Finished
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)): model 59% · market 90% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) ✓ Pick70.1%
market90%
2 · Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)29.9%
market10%

Model estimate: win Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 70.1%, win Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 29.9%. Model favourite — Kilsayt Kobras (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) (odds1.56) Score 82:78 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kilsayt Kobras (Zh): forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Bendigo Breyvs (Zh): forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Kilsayt Kobras (Zh): probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kilsayt Kobras (Zh).

Line favourite Fonbet: Kilsayt Kobras (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50
  • Glicko: Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 70.1% / Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 29.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 ✓ Pick 90.4%
2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.62 ↓ 1.32
Winner 2 2.15 ↑ 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
1-9LLLLLLLLLW
points for 69.6points against 85.1
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
0-5LLLLL
points for 90.3points against 98.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 112:98
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 71.0% 70.1% market and model agree
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 29.0% 29.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 70.1% / 29.9% probabilities
Rating 1,522 / 1,363 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) / Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
RD 182 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,158-1,886 / 1,005-1,721 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 29.9%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 70.1%
Total
Over 154.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
1.83 54.6% — —
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.83 54.6% — —
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 154.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 155.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 156.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 157.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 158.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 159.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
Over 160.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 161.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 2.02 49.5%
Over 162.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 163.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 164.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 165.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 166.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 167.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 161.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.36 73.5%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 9.50 10.5% 3.30 30.3%
Match center
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
L W W W L
17.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 83:93 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
09.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 94:82 Nunavading (Zh)Nunavading (Zh)
04.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 105:91 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
02.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 80:53 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 80:89 Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
88.4 Scored
81.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
L W L W L
17.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 58:112 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
12.07 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 99:90 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
04.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 68:94 Mt. Gamber (Zh)Mt. Gamber (Zh)
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 89:80 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 70:91 Ueverli (Zh)Ueverli (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
76.8 Scored
93.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
1 matches total
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 80:89 (14.06 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 169 goals (80:89, 14.06 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
80:89
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)