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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Casey Cavaliers

Basketball
K
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
105 : 91
Finished
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Casey Cavaliers — 79%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Casey Cavaliers July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kilsayt Kobras (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 82.0%
2 18.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

4Wins2
66.7%Win %33.3%
79.0Points per game74.3
125.3Offensive rating94.0
117.9Defensive rating99.9
4.7Point differential-4.7
49.5Assists45.0
111.5Rebounds106.0
33.5%3-pointers, %43.2%

Team form

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
Overall WWWLL Net +1.2
Home WL Net +11.5
Away WWLL Net -8.0
Casey Cavaliers
Overall WWLLW Net +7.9
Home WLW Net +10.7
Away WLW Net +5.1

Team stats

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Casey Cavaliers
58.8%H 62.5% · A 55.6%Win %61.1%H 66.7% · A 55.6%
1.2H 11.5 · A -8.0Point differential7.9H 10.7 · A 5.1
89.8H 93.9 · A 86.2Points per game93.9H 92.3 · A 95.6
89.2H 88.1 · A 90.2Conceded90.0H 87.0 · A 93.0
48.7%H 48.9% · A 48.4%FG, %52.7%H 54.7% · A 50.8%
58.8H 62.5 · A 55.61st half38.9H 55.6 · A 22.2
79.4H 79.5 · A 79.4Pace76.3H 73.6 · A 79.1
113.0H 113.8 · A 112.3Offensive rating122.9H 128.4 · A 117.9
112.3H 113.0 · A 111.6Defensive rating117.8H 123.1 · A 113.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) Total (over) Casey Cavaliers
89.8 Points per game 93.9
70.6%
O 88.5
66.7%
64.7%
O 89.5
61.1%
58.8%
O 90.5
55.6%
58.8%
O 91.5среднее
55.6%
58.8%
O 92.5
50.0%
52.9%
O 93.5
44.4%
52.9%
O 94.5
44.4%
41.2%
O 95.5
44.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) Total (over) Casey Cavaliers
0.0%
O 105.5
27.8%
0.0%
O 106.5
22.2%
0.0%
O 107.5
22.2%
0.0%
O 108.5
22.2%
0.0%
O 109.5
5.6%
0.0%
O 110.5
5.6%
0.0%
O 111.5
5.6%
0.0%
O 112.5
5.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 45.1 / Casey Cavaliers 46.4

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) Total (over) Casey Cavaliers
52.9%
O 44.5
50.0%
52.9%
O 45.5среднее
50.0%
41.2%
O 46.5
44.4%
41.2%
O 47.5
38.9%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 44.1 / Casey Cavaliers 47.5

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) Total (over) Casey Cavaliers
52.9%
O 44.5
61.1%
52.9%
O 45.5среднее
61.1%
41.2%
O 46.5
50.0%
41.2%
O 47.5
50.0%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) - Casey Cavaliers

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Over 102.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
3.10 32.3%
2.70 37.0%
2.95 33.9%
2.50 40.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.80 35.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.27 78.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.57 63.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.40 71.4%
2.55 39.2%
3.00 33.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 102.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 104.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 105.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 106.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 163.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 164.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 176.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 177.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 178.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 179.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 180.5 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.10 90.9% 5.10 19.6%
5.00 20.0% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
W L L L L
02.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 80:53 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 80:89 Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 67:84 Noks (Zh)Noks (Zh)
24.05 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 73:79 Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
23.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Kilsayt Kobras (Zh) 68:78 Melburn Taygers (Zh)Melburn Taygers (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
73.6 Scored
76.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Casey Cavaliers
L L W
14.06 00:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Casey Cavaliers 73:84 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
13.06 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Casey Cavaliers 78:95 Ballarat (Zh)Ballarat (Zh)
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Casey Cavaliers 83:70 Melburn Taygers (Zh)Melburn Taygers (Zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
78.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage