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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
04.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Mt. Gamber (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)

Basketball
Mt. Gamber (Zh)
Mt. Gamber (Zh)
94 : 68
Finished
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Mt. Gamber (Zh) — 84%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

1Mt. Gamber (Zh) — odds 1.35 · edge +10.1% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mt. Gamber (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mt. Gamber (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

6Wins1
85.7%Win %14.3%
91.4Points per game74.9
111.1Offensive rating79.3
91.0Defensive rating96.9
16.6Point differential-16.6
54.0Assists33.8
115.3Rebounds96.4
35.9%3-pointers, %36.6%

Team form

Mt. Gamber (Zh)
Overall LLLLL Net -15.9
Home LLL Net -19.8
Away LLL Net -12.4
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
Overall LLLLW Net -11.4
Home LLW Net -2.2
Away LLL Net -23.0

Team stats

Mt. Gamber (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
26.3%H 22.2% · A 30.0%Win %38.9%H 50.0% · A 25.0%
-15.9H -19.8 · A -12.4Point differential-11.4H -2.2 · A -23.0
90.3H 88.2 · A 92.1Points per game85.3H 85.7 · A 84.9
98.2H 98.1 · A 98.3Conceded91.1H 86.8 · A 96.4
49.6%H 49.7% · A 49.5%FG, %49.9%H 49.6% · A 50.3%
42.1H 55.6 · A 30.01st half44.4H 50.0 · A 37.5
79.2H 77.3 · A 80.9Pace76.6H 76.9 · A 76.3
113.2H 116.4 · A 110.5Offensive rating111.4H 111.4 · A 111.4
123.2H 126.6 · A 120.2Defensive rating118.9H 118.8 · A 118.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Mt. Gamber (Zh) Total (over) Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
90.3 Points per game 85.3
73.7%
O 84.5
44.4%
57.9%
O 85.5
44.4%
52.6%
O 86.5
38.9%
52.6%
O 87.5среднее
38.9%
52.6%
O 88.5
38.9%
52.6%
O 89.5
33.3%
52.6%
O 90.5
33.3%
47.4%
O 91.5
27.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Mt. Gamber (Zh) Total (over) Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
5.3%
O 102.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 103.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 104.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 105.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 106.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 107.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 109.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Mt. Gamber (Zh) 49.2 / Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 43.9

Mt. Gamber (Zh) Total (over) Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
78.9%
O 45.5
27.8%
68.4%
O 46.5среднее
27.8%
63.2%
O 47.5
22.2%
57.9%
O 48.5
22.2%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Mt. Gamber (Zh) 41.1 / Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 41.4

Mt. Gamber (Zh) Total (over) Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
42.1%
O 40.5
55.6%
36.8%
O 41.5среднее
55.6%
36.8%
O 42.5
44.4%
36.8%
O 43.5
38.9%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Match center

Mt. Gamber (Zh) - Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— 1.81 55.3% —
1.88 53.2% — —
— 1.89 52.9% —
1.78 56.2% — —
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 144.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 145.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 146.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 148.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 149.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 150.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 151.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 152.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 153.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 154.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Over 155.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 157.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
Under 166.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.09 91.7%
7.90 12.7% 8.40 11.9% 8.50 11.8% 8.30 12.1%
Match center
Mt. Gamber (Zh)
L W W W
03.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Mt. Gamber (Zh) 64:95 Noks (Zh)Noks (Zh)
14.06 01:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Mt. Gamber (Zh) 93:66 Gilong (Zh)Gilong (Zh)
12.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Mt. Gamber (Zh) 109:90 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
29.05 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Mt. Gamber (Zh) 76:42 Ringvud (Zh)Ringvud (Zh)
3 Wins
1 Losses
85.5 Scored
73.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh)
W L L W
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 89:80 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
30.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 70:91 Ueverli (Zh)Ueverli (Zh)
24.05 00:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 93:109 Daymond Uelley (Zh)
23.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Bendigo Breyvs (Zh) 86:78 Frankston (Zh)Frankston (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
84.5 Scored
89.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage