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Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
18.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia: NBL 1 South - Women

Univer Melbourne - Eltkhem (Zh)

Basketball
Univer Melbourne
Univer Melbourne
72 : 79
Finished
Eltkhem (Zh)
Eltkhem (Zh)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Eltkhem (Zh) — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Eltkhem (Zh)): model 48% · market 54% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Univer Melbourne46.6%
2 · Eltkhem (Zh)53.4%

Model estimate: win Univer Melbourne 46.6%, win Eltkhem (Zh) 53.4%. Model favourite — Eltkhem (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Univer Melbourne (odds1.77) Score 81:79 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Melburn Taygers (Zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Eltkhem (Zh): forma PVPV (2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Melburn Taygers (Zh): probability 57% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Univer Melbourne - Eltkhem (Zh) July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eltkhem (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Eltkhem (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / 2 1.79
  • Glicko: Univer Melbourne 46.6% / Eltkhem (Zh) 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 46.3%
2 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Univer Melbourne
7-3WWWLWLWWLW
points for 80.3points against 75.4
Eltkhem (Zh)
4-1WWWWL
points for 90.6points against 79.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Univer Melbourne - Eltkhem (Zh)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 72:79
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Univer Melbourne 46.2% 46.6%
Eltkhem (Zh) 53.8% 53.4% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 46.6% / 53.4% probabilities
Rating 1,744 / 1,750 Univer Melbourne / Eltkhem (Zh)
RD 166 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,412-2,076 / 1,358-2,143 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
1 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 46.6%
Total
Over 156.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 158.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.81 55.3% —
— 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 156.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 158.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 158.5 — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1%
1.71 58.5% 1.79 55.9%
Match center
Univer Melbourne
W W W W L
09.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 74:66 Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
04.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 73:51 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
03.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 85:70 Khobart (Zh)Khobart (Zh)
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 96:84 Eltkhem (Zh)Eltkhem (Zh)
05.06 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Univer Melbourne 70:83 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
4 Wins
1 Losses
79.6 Scored
70.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Eltkhem (Zh)
W L W L W
17.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Eltkhem (Zh) 93:83 Kilsayt Kobras (Zh)
10.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Eltkhem (Zh) 61:90 Noks (Zh)Noks (Zh)
04.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Eltkhem (Zh) 75:67 Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)Sandringkhem Seybers (Zh)
13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Eltkhem (Zh) 84:96 Melburn Taygers (Zh)Melburn Taygers (Zh)
23.05 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Eltkhem (Zh) 102:77 Khobart (Zh)Khobart (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
83.0 Scored
82.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniver Melbourne - Eltkhem (Zh)

Univer Melbourne
1 matches total
Eltkhem (Zh)
Univer Melbourne: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Eltkhem (Zh): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Melburn Taygers (Zh) 96:84 (13.06 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 180 goals (96:84, 13.06 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 06:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South - Women
Melburn Taygers (Zh)
96:84
Eltkhem (Zh)