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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
30.05.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
30.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Ballarat Miners - Geelong United

Basketball
Ballarat Miners
Ballarat Miners
101 : 82
Finished
Geelong United
Geelong United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ballarat Miners - Geelong United May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ballarat Miners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ballarat Miners
5-5LWLWLLWWLW
points for 85.1points against 81.9
Geelong United
3-7LLLLWLWLLW
points for 75.3points against 84.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Ballarat Miners - Geelong United

Array

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.15 46.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.00 50.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
2.75 36.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.02 49.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.82 55.0%
1.67 59.9%
2.40 41.7%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 151.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 152.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 153.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 154.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 157.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 158.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 161.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 162.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 163.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 164.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 165.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 166.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 167.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Ballarat Miners
L L
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 94:98 KhobartKhobart
23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 91:93 RingvudRingvud
0 Wins
2 Losses
92.5 Scored
95.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Geelong United
W W
24.05 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 99:88 UeverliUeverli
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 113:92 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
2 Wins
0 Losses
106.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage