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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
05.06.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
05.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers

Basketball
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
83 : 75
Finished
Melbourne Tigers
Melbourne Tigers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers June 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Casey Cavaliers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 79.6%
2 20.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Casey Cavaliers
6-4LWWWLLWWWL
points for 88.1points against 83.0
Melbourne Tigers
4-1LWWWW
points for 91.3points against 100.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 05.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers

Array

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 136.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.02 49.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.50 66.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.82 55.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 135.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 136.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 137.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 138.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 139.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 140.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 141.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 142.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 143.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 145.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 146.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 147.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 148.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 149.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 150.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 151.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 152.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom Fonbet
1.41 70.9% 1.13 88.5%
2.70 37.0% 4.40 22.7%
Match center
Casey Cavaliers
W
23.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Casey Cavaliers 109:85 Maunt-GambirMaunt-Gambir
1 Wins
0 Losses
109.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Melbourne Tigers
L W W
31.05 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 93:95 NunavadingNunavading
30.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 95:80 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 95:83 KilsitKilsit
2 Wins
1 Losses
94.3 Scored
86.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage