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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
05.07.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Dandenong Rangers - Ballarat Miners

Basketball
Dandenong Rangers
Dandenong Rangers
111 : 81
Finished
Ballarat Miners
Ballarat Miners
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Dandenong Rangers — 80%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dandenong Rangers - Ballarat Miners July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dandenong Rangers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / 2 3.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 75.6%
2 24.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins5
14.3%Win %71.4%
66.9Points per game73.9
86.4Offensive rating107.0
95.4Defensive rating96.8
-7.0Point differential7.0
51.0Assists52.0
117.0Rebounds117.0
31.2%3-pointers, %41.0%

Team form

Dandenong Rangers
Overall LWLLW Net +3.3
Home WLLW Net +5.4
Away LL Net +0.9
Ballarat Miners
Overall LLLLL Net -31.4
Home LLL Net -34.9
Away LLL Net -26.5

Team stats

Dandenong Rangers Overall · Home/Away Ballarat Miners
52.6%H 60.0% · A 44.4%Win %10.5%H 18.2% · A 0.0%
3.3H 5.4 · A 0.9Point differential-31.4H -34.9 · A -26.5
94.7H 93.3 · A 96.2Points per game88.2H 89.8 · A 85.9
93.1H 90.6 · A 95.8Conceded103.8H 107.3 · A 99.1
50.6%H 49.5% · A 51.8%FG, %50.3%H 48.0% · A 53.5%
47.4H 40.0 · A 55.61st half21.1H 27.3 · A 12.5
80.1H 80.1 · A 80.2Pace76.7H 78.9 · A 73.6
118.6H 118.5 · A 118.8Offensive rating114.0H 109.9 · A 120.2
116.6H 116.4 · A 116.7Defensive rating134.3H 129.5 · A 141.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Dandenong Rangers Total (over) Ballarat Miners
94.7 Points per game 88.2
68.4%
O 87.5
52.6%
63.2%
O 88.5
52.6%
63.2%
O 89.5
52.6%
63.2%
O 90.5
52.6%
57.9%
O 91.5srednee
47.4%
52.6%
O 92.5
42.1%
52.6%
O 93.5
42.1%
52.6%
O 94.5
42.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Dandenong Rangers Total (over) Ballarat Miners
21.1%
O 104.5
15.8%
21.1%
O 105.5
15.8%
10.5%
O 106.5
10.5%
10.5%
O 107.5
10.5%
10.5%
O 108.5
10.5%
5.3%
O 109.5
10.5%
5.3%
O 110.5
5.3%
5.3%
O 111.5
5.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Dandenong Rangers 47.6 / Ballarat Miners 43.4

Dandenong Rangers Total (over) Ballarat Miners
57.9%
O 43.5
47.4%
52.6%
O 44.5
47.4%
52.6%
O 45.5srednee
36.8%
52.6%
O 46.5
31.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Dandenong Rangers 47.1 / Ballarat Miners 44.8

Dandenong Rangers Total (over) Ballarat Miners
57.9%
O 44.5
57.9%
52.6%
O 45.5srednee
57.9%
52.6%
O 46.5
52.6%
42.1%
O 47.5
47.4%

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Dandenong Rangers
192.8 points/match (over 5)
  • Scores: 97.6
  • Concedes: 95.2
Ballarat Miners
201.9 points/match (over 7)
  • Scores: 97.3
  • Concedes: 104.6
Total line: 193.5 · projection from form: 197.4 · Over in 42% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Dandenong Rangers - Ballarat Miners

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 191.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 192.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.84 54.4% —
1.83 54.6% —
— 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 191.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 192.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Over 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 191.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 192.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
3.90 25.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.97 25.2%
Match center
Dandenong Rangers
L W L W W
13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 88:100 Daymond Uelley
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 97:88 GilongGilong
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 106:111 NunavadingNunavading
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 95:90 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 102:87 NoksNoks
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.6 Scored
95.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Ballarat Miners
L L L L W
14.06 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 99:117 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 106:117 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
05.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 98:116 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
31.05 03:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 92:109 NoksNoks
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 101:82 GilongGilong
1 Wins
4 Losses
99.2 Scored
108.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage