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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
18.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers

Basketball
D
Diamond Valley Eagles
97 : 87
Finished
Dandenong Rangers
Dandenong Rangers
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dandenong Rangers — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dandenong Rangers): model 62% · market 62% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Diamond Valley Eagles39.9%
market38%
2 · Dandenong Rangers ✓ Pick60.1%
market62%

Model estimate: win Diamond Valley Eagles 39.9%, win Dandenong Rangers 60.1%. Model favourite — Dandenong Rangers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dandenong Rangers (odds1.61) Score 78:82 confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Daymond Uelley: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Dandenong: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Dandenong: probability 62% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dandenong Rangers.

Line favourite market consensus: Dandenong Rangers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.82 / 2 1.71
  • Glicko: Diamond Valley Eagles 39.9% / Dandenong Rangers 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin -6.1%
1 37.7%
2 ✓ Pick 62.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diamond Valley Eagles
5-5LWWLLLLWWW
points for 88.6points against 82.0
Dandenong Rangers
5-5LLLWWLWWWL
points for 83.2points against 82.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Diamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 97:87
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diamond Valley Eagles 40.1% 39.9%
Dandenong Rangers 59.9% 60.1% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.9% / 60.1% probabilities
Rating 1,320 / 1,724 Diamond Valley Eagles / Dandenong Rangers
RD 177 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 965-1,674 / 1,376-2,072 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 60.1%
1 2.41 market consensus · no value · model 39.9%
Total
Over 187.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Over 188.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%
— 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 187.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 188.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 187.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 188.5 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.00 50.0% 2.82 35.5%
1.71 58.5% 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Diamond Valley Eagles
L L L W W
11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 101:108 FrankstonFrankston
05.07 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 85:92 GilongGilong
04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 91:98 NunavadingNunavading
13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 100:88 DandenongDandenong
08.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 100:85 UeverliUeverli
2 Wins
3 Losses
95.4 Scored
94.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Dandenong Rangers
W W L W L
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 89:84 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
05.07 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 111:81 BallaratBallarat
13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 88:100 Daymond Uelley
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 97:88 GilongGilong
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Dandenong Rangers 106:111 NunavadingNunavading
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.2 Scored
92.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDiamond Valley Eagles - Dandenong Rangers

Diamond Valley Eagles
1 matches total
Dandenong Rangers
Diamond Valley Eagles: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dandenong Rangers: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Daymond Uelley 100:88 (13.06 07:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 188 goals (100:88, 13.06 07:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Daymond Uelley
100:88
Dandenong