Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Diamond Valley Eagles - Nunawading Spectres

Basketball
D
Diamond Valley Eagles
91 : 98
Finished
Nunawading Spectres
Nunawading Spectres
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Nunawading Spectres71%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diamond Valley Eagles - Nunawading Spectres July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Nunawading Spectres. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.51 / 2 1.32

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 27.3%
2 72.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins4
33.3%Win %44.4%
67.0Points per game72.7
87.0Offensive rating107.2
94.4Defensive rating98.8
-5.7Point differential5.7
48.0Assists51.8
112.5Rebounds122.5
37.3%3-pointers, %29.7%

Team form

Diamond Valley Eagles
Overall LLWWW Net -4.8
Home WW Net +1.3
Away LLWW Net -9.6
Nunawading Spectres
Overall WWWLW Net +22.6
Home WWLW Net +25.0
Away WW Net +20.0

Team stats

Diamond Valley Eagles Overall · Home/Away Nunawading Spectres
38.9%H 50.0% · A 30.0%Win %73.7%H 70.0% · A 77.8%
-4.8H 1.3 · A -9.6Point differential22.6H 25.0 · A 20.0
90.6H 90.0 · A 91.0Points per game101.5H 103.1 · A 99.7
92.9H 89.4 · A 95.8Conceded90.2H 90.6 · A 89.7
48.5%H 49.3% · A 47.9%FG, %53.8%H 54.3% · A 53.2%
44.4H 37.5 · A 50.01st half57.9H 70.0 · A 44.4
77.6H 77.7 · A 77.5Pace78.2H 77.8 · A 78.7
117.0H 115.6 · A 118.2Offensive rating129.4H 129.3 · A 129.6
120.1H 118.6 · A 121.3Defensive rating115.0H 114.9 · A 115.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Diamond Valley Eagles Total (over) Nunawading Spectres
90.6 Points per game 101.5
38.9%
O 92.5
89.5%
38.9%
O 93.5
89.5%
33.3%
O 94.5
84.2%
33.3%
O 95.5
57.9%
33.3%
O 96.5среднее
57.9%
27.8%
O 97.5
52.6%
22.2%
O 98.5
47.4%
22.2%
O 99.5
47.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Diamond Valley Eagles Total (over) Nunawading Spectres
5.6%
O 111.5
15.8%
0.0%
O 112.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 113.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 114.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 115.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 116.5
10.5%
0.0%
O 117.5
5.3%
0.0%
O 118.5
5.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Diamond Valley Eagles 46.5 / Nunawading Spectres 48.7

Diamond Valley Eagles Total (over) Nunawading Spectres
55.6%
O 46.5
52.6%
50.0%
O 47.5среднее
47.4%
50.0%
O 48.5
47.4%
44.4%
O 49.5
42.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Diamond Valley Eagles 44.1 / Nunawading Spectres 52.7

Diamond Valley Eagles Total (over) Nunawading Spectres
27.8%
O 46.5
94.7%
27.8%
O 47.5
84.2%
27.8%
O 48.5среднее
84.2%
27.8%
O 49.5
73.7%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Diamond Valley Eagles - Nunawading Spectres

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 market consensus · line only
1 3.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 186.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 186.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 186.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 186.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
3.51 28.5%
1.32 75.8%
Match center
Diamond Valley Eagles
W W L W
13.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 100:88 DandenongDandenong
08.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 100:85 UeverliUeverli
30.05 10:15 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 83:105 Eltkhem
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Diamond Valley Eagles 90:75 Bendigo BreyvsBendigo Breyvs
3 Wins
1 Losses
93.3 Scored
88.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Nunawading Spectres
L W W W L
14.06 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Nunawading Spectres 95:104 NoksNoks
13.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Nunawading Spectres 88:73 UeverliUeverli
31.05 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Nunawading Spectres 95:93 Melburn TaygersMelburn Taygers
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Nunawading Spectres 111:106 DandenongDandenong
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Nunawading Spectres 95:105 Sandringkhem SeybersSandringkhem Seybers
3 Wins
2 Losses
96.8 Scored
96.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage