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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Eltham Wildcats - Sandringham Sabres (w)

Basketball
E
Eltham Wildcats
96 : 73
Finished
Sandringham Sabres (w)
Sandringham Sabres (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Eltham Wildcats — 62%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eltham Wildcats - Sandringham Sabres (w) July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Eltham Wildcats. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / 2 2.59

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 62.9%
2 37.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

4Wins5
44.4%Win %55.6%
86.2Points per game90.6
108.6Offensive rating103.8
114.1Defensive rating98.8
-4.3Point differential4.3
47.4Assists48.6
103.9Rebounds118.1
34.8%3-pointers, %37.3%

Team form

Eltham Wildcats
Overall WWWWL Net +22.0
Home WL Net +23.6
Away WWWL Net +20.4
Sandringham Sabres (w)
Overall WWWLL Net +10.9
Home WWL Net +6.4
Away WLL Net +15.3

Team stats

Eltham Wildcats Overall · Home/Away Sandringham Sabres (w)
77.8%H 77.8% · A 77.8%Win %55.6%H 55.6% · A 55.6%
22.0H 23.6 · A 20.4Point differential10.9H 6.4 · A 15.3
90.6H 91.1 · A 90.0Points per game93.4H 92.1 · A 94.7
79.6H 79.3 · A 79.8Conceded87.9H 88.9 · A 87.0
53.4%H 52.6% · A 54.2%FG, %50.1%H 50.9% · A 49.2%
72.2H 66.7 · A 77.81st half66.7H 77.8 · A 55.6
72.4H 75.0 · A 69.8Pace81.3H 81.1 · A 81.4
124.1H 119.7 · A 128.8Offensive rating116.3H 117.1 · A 115.5
109.0H 105.1 · A 113.2Defensive rating109.5H 110.3 · A 108.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Eltham Wildcats Total (over) Sandringham Sabres (w)
90.6 Points per game 93.4
55.6%
O 88.5
61.1%
50.0%
O 89.5
61.1%
44.4%
O 90.5
61.1%
44.4%
O 91.5srednee
61.1%
44.4%
O 92.5
55.6%
44.4%
O 93.5
55.6%
44.4%
O 94.5
50.0%
33.3%
O 95.5
44.4%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Eltham Wildcats Total (over) Sandringham Sabres (w)
16.7%
O 105.5
27.8%
16.7%
O 106.5
22.2%
11.1%
O 107.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 108.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 109.5
22.2%
5.6%
O 110.5
11.1%
5.6%
O 111.5
11.1%
5.6%
O 112.5
5.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Eltham Wildcats 46.6 / Sandringham Sabres (w) 47.8

Eltham Wildcats Total (over) Sandringham Sabres (w)
44.4%
O 45.5
55.6%
44.4%
O 46.5
55.6%
38.9%
O 47.5srednee
55.6%
38.9%
O 48.5
55.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Eltham Wildcats 44.0 / Sandringham Sabres (w) 45.6

Eltham Wildcats Total (over) Sandringham Sabres (w)
55.6%
O 43.5
61.1%
50.0%
O 44.5srednee
55.6%
33.3%
O 45.5
44.4%
22.2%
O 46.5
44.4%

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Eltham Wildcats - Sandringham Sabres (w)

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 175.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 176.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
1.84 54.4% — 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 175.5 1.81 55.3% — —
Over 176.5 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% —
Over 178.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 175.5 1.86 53.8% — —
Under 176.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 178.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 1.53 65.4%
2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.59 38.6%
Match center
Eltham Wildcats
L W W
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 63:77 Melburn TaygersMelburn Taygers
30.05 10:15 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 105:83 Daymond Uelley
23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 108:65 KhobartKhobart
2 Wins
1 Losses
92.0 Scored
75.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Sandringham Sabres (w)
W L L W W
03.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Sandringham Sabres (w) 101:91 UeverliUeverli
13.06 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Sandringham Sabres (w) 78:87 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
05.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Sandringham Sabres (w) 95:99 FrankstonFrankston
24.05 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Sandringham Sabres (w) 110:64 KilsitKilsit
23.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Sandringham Sabres (w) 105:95 NunavadingNunavading
3 Wins
2 Losses
97.8 Scored
87.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage