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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
23.05.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Geelong United - Northern Tasmania

Basketball
Geelong United
Geelong United
113 : 92
Finished
Northern Tasmania
Northern Tasmania

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Geelong United - Northern Tasmania May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geelong United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Geelong United
3-7LLLLWLWLLW
points for 75.3points against 84.8
Northern Tasmania
7-3WWWWWWLLWL
points for 85.8points against 83.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Geelong United - Northern Tasmania

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 102.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 105.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.05 48.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.78 56.2%
2.45 40.8%
1.48 67.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.50 66.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.82 55.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.62 61.7%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 102.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 105.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 106.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 108.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 109.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 144.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 145.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 146.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 148.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 149.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 150.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 151.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 152.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 153.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 154.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 155.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 156.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
8.50 11.8%