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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
05.06.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
05.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners

Basketball
Keilor Thunder
Keilor Thunder
116 : 98
Finished
Ballarat Miners
Ballarat Miners

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners June 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Keilor Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 90.4%
2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Keilor Thunder
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
points for 86.8points against 74.3
Ballarat Miners
5-5LWLWLLWWLW
points for 85.1points against 81.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 05.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners

Array

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.20 45.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.60 38.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.50 66.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.82 55.0%
1.65 60.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.52 65.8%
1.40 71.4%
2.25 44.4%
2.60 38.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.15 46.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 101.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 102.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 103.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 106.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 108.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 109.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 111.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 143.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 144.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 145.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 146.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 147.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 148.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 149.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 150.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 151.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 152.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
9.50 10.5%
Match center
Keilor Thunder
L L
30.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Keilor Thunder 80:95 Melburn TaygersMelburn Taygers
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Keilor Thunder 90:95 DandenongDandenong
0 Wins
2 Losses
85.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Ballarat Miners
L W L L
31.05 03:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 92:109 NoksNoks
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 101:82 GilongGilong
24.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 94:98 KhobartKhobart
23.05 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Ballarat Miners 91:93 RingvudRingvud
1 Wins
3 Losses
94.5 Scored
95.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage