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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
18.07.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Kilsyth Cobras - Bendigo Braves

Basketball
Kilsyth Cobras
Kilsyth Cobras
90 : 73
Finished
Bendigo Braves
Bendigo Braves
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kilsyth Cobras — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kilsyth Cobras): model 65% · market 79% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kilsyth Cobras ✓ Pick78.0%
market79%
2 · Bendigo Braves22.0%
market21%

Model estimate: win Kilsyth Cobras 78.0%, win Bendigo Braves 22.0%. Model favourite — Kilsyth Cobras.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kilsyth Cobras (odds1.60) Score 82:78 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kilsit: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Bendigo Breyvs: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Kilsit: probability 63% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kilsyth Cobras - Bendigo Braves July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kilsyth Cobras.

Line favourite market consensus: Kilsyth Cobras. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / 2 4.59
  • Glicko: Kilsyth Cobras 78.0% / Bendigo Braves 22.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 ✓ Pick 79.0%
2 21.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kilsyth Cobras
1-9LLLLLLLLLW
points for 69.6points against 85.1
Bendigo Braves
0-5LLLLL
points for 90.3points against 98.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Kilsyth Cobras - Bendigo Braves

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 90:73
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kilsyth Cobras 79.0% 78.0% market and model agree
Bendigo Braves 21.0% 22.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 78.0% / 22.0% probabilities
Rating 1,495 / 1,051 Kilsyth Cobras / Bendigo Braves
RD 170 / 214 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,155-1,835 / 622-1,479 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.43 market consensus · no value · model 22.0%
1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
Total
Over 175.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 176.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% — 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —
1.83 54.6% — 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 175.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% —
Over 176.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 177.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 175.5 1.86 53.8% 1.89 52.9% —
Under 176.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 177.5 — — 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0%
4.40 22.7% 4.30 23.3% 4.59 21.8%
Match center
Kilsyth Cobras
L L L W W
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsyth Cobras 76:94 Eltkhem
11.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsyth Cobras 89:102 NoksNoks
09.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsyth Cobras 111:119 NunavadingNunavading
04.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsyth Cobras 105:86 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
02.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsyth Cobras 95:87 RingvudRingvud
2 Wins
3 Losses
95.2 Scored
97.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Bendigo Braves
L L L W W
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Bendigo Braves 69:93 Keilor ThunderKeilor Thunder
12.07 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Bendigo Braves 76:95 RingvudRingvud
04.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Bendigo Braves 70:88 Maunt-GambirMaunt-Gambir
14.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Bendigo Braves 95:78 KilsitKilsit
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Bendigo Braves 91:84 UeverliUeverli
2 Wins
3 Losses
80.2 Scored
87.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKilsyth Cobras - Bendigo Braves

Kilsyth Cobras
1 matches total
Bendigo Braves
Kilsyth Cobras: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bendigo Braves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bendigo Breyvs 78:95 (14.06 04:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 173 goals (78:95, 14.06 04:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.06 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Kilsit
78:95
Bendigo Breyvs