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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
23.05.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
23.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Kilsyth Cobras - Melbourne Tigers

Basketball
Kilsyth Cobras
Kilsyth Cobras
83 : 95
Finished
Melbourne Tigers
Melbourne Tigers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kilsyth Cobras - Melbourne Tigers May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbourne Tigers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kilsyth Cobras
1-9LLLLLLLLLW
points for 69.6points against 85.1
Melbourne Tigers
4-1LWWWW
points for 91.3points against 100.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Kilsyth Cobras - Melbourne Tigers

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 133.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 134.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.57 63.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.50 66.7%
2.50 40.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.20 45.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.67 59.9%
2.80 35.7%
2.00 50.0%
2.13 47.0%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 133.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 134.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 135.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 136.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 137.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 138.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 139.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 140.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 141.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 142.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 143.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 144.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 145.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 146.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 147.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 150.5 2.08 48.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%