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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
18.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
18.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers - Eltham Wildcats

Basketball
Melbourne Tigers
Melbourne Tigers
88 : 84
Finished
E
Eltham Wildcats
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Melbourne Tigers — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Melbourne Tigers): model 42% · market 80% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Melbourne Tigers56.8%
2 · Eltham Wildcats43.2%

Model estimate: win Melbourne Tigers 56.8%, win Eltham Wildcats 43.2%. Model favourite — Melbourne Tigers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Eltham Wildcats (odds1.79) Score 79:81 confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Melburn Taygers: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Eltkhem: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Eltkhem: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.79)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne Tigers - Eltham Wildcats July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Melbourne Tigers.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbourne Tigers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 4.50
  • Glicko: Melbourne Tigers 56.8% / Eltham Wildcats 43.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 80.1%
2 19.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.00 ↓ 1.12
Winner 2 1.72 ↑ 4.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Melbourne Tigers
4-1LWWWW
points for 91.3points against 100.1
Eltham Wildcats
4-1WWWWL
points for 90.6points against 79.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated18.07.2026 08:28 UTC
1 54% ✓ favourite
2 46%
Score84:80 Total points: Under 165.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-2.5)
Claude updated18.07.2026 08:34 UTC
1 54% ✓ favourite
2 46%
Score88:85 Total points: Under 178.5 Bet:1 (win Melbourne Taygers) at 2.00
Qwen updated18.07.2026 08:31 UTC
1 54% ✓ favourite
2 46%
Score88:84 Total points: Over 168.5 Bet:1
Kimi updated18.07.2026 08:38 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
2 48%
Score92:88 Total points: Over 169.5 Bet:1 (Melbourne Taygers)
GLM 5.2 updated18.07.2026 08:39 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
2 44%
Score108:101 Total points: Over 208.5 Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 54% 46% 84:80 Under 165.5 Handicap 1 (-2.5)
Claude 54% 46% 88:85 Under 178.5
Qwen 54% 46% 88:84 Over 168.5
Kimi 52% 48% 92:88 Over 169.5
GLM 5.2 56% 44% 108:101 Over 208.5

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Match center
Start 18.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Melbourne Tigers 54%
📐 Math model Melbourne Tigers 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Melbourne Tigers - Eltham Wildcats

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 88:84
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Melbourne Tigers 57.9% 56.8% market and model agree
Eltham Wildcats 42.1% 43.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.8% / 43.2% probabilities
Rating 1,724 / 2,016 Melbourne Tigers / Eltham Wildcats
RD 165 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,393-2,055 / 1,637-2,394 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 43.2%
1 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 56.8%
Total
Over 131.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 132.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 2.50 40.0%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 2.02 49.5%
1.80 55.6% —
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.37 73.0%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 131.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 132.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Over 133.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 134.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 135.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 136.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 137.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 138.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 139.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Over 140.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 141.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 142.5 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 143.5 — 1.53 65.4%
Over 144.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Over 145.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 146.5 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 169.5 1.83 54.6% —
Under 169.5 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.61 62.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.66 60.2%
2.15 46.5% 4.50 22.2% 2.28 43.9%
Match center
Melbourne Tigers
L W W W L
09.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 97:101 Sandringkhem SeybersSandringkhem Seybers
04.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 101:92 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
03.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 101:63 KhobartKhobart
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 77:63 Eltkhem
05.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melbourne Tigers 75:83 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
3 Wins
2 Losses
90.2 Scored
80.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Eltham Wildcats
W W W L W
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 94:76 KilsitKilsit
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 84:77 NoksNoks
04.07 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 96:73 Sandringkhem SeybersSandringkhem Seybers
13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 63:77 Melburn TaygersMelburn Taygers
30.05 10:15 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Eltham Wildcats 105:83 Daymond Uelley
4 Wins
1 Losses
88.4 Scored
77.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMelbourne Tigers - Eltham Wildcats

Melbourne Tigers
1 matches total
Eltham Wildcats
Melbourne Tigers: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Eltham Wildcats: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Melburn Taygers 77:63 (13.06 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 140 goals (77:63, 13.06 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.06 08:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Melburn Taygers
77:63
Eltkhem