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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
14.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United

Basketball
Mount Gambier Pioneers
Mount Gambier Pioneers
75 : 77
Finished
Geelong United
Geelong United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geelong United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.32

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 30.6%
2 69.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mount Gambier Pioneers
1-4LLLLW
points for 85.3points against 91.1
Geelong United
3-7LLLLWLWLLW
points for 75.3points against 84.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Geelong United

Array

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.40 41.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.13 47.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.35 42.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 150.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 151.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 152.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 153.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 154.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 157.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 158.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 159.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 160.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 161.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 162.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 163.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 164.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
1.32 75.8%
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
L L L
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 91:104 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
29.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 95:97 RingvudRingvud
23.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 85:109 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
0 Wins
3 Losses
90.3 Scored
103.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Geelong United
L L W W
31.05 02:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 88:97 DandenongDandenong
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 82:101 BallaratBallarat
24.05 03:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 99:88 UeverliUeverli
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Geelong United 113:92 Northern TasmaniaNorthern Tasmania
2 Wins
2 Losses
95.5 Scored
94.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage