Match center
Start
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
03.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished
Australia. NBL 1
Mount Gambier Pioneers - Noks
76
:
97
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2Noks — 79%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Noks July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Noks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.10 / 2 1.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
19.0%
2
81.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Mount Gambier Pioneers
1-4LLLLW
points for 85.3points against 91.1
Noks
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers - Noks
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.16
market consensus · line only
1
4.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 190.5
1.84
market consensus · line only
Over 191.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 190.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | — |
| Over 191.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 190.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Under 191.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.70 21.3% | 5.10 19.6% | 4.89 20.5% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.20 83.3% |
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
L
L
L
L
Mount Gambier Pioneers
75:77
Gilong
Gilong
Mount Gambier Pioneers
91:104
Northern Tasmania
Northern Tasmania
Mount Gambier Pioneers
95:97
Ringvud
Ringvud
Mount Gambier Pioneers
85:109
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers
0
Wins
4
Losses
86.5
Scored
96.8
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Noks
W
W
W
W
L
Noks
104:95
Nunavading
Nunavading
Noks
104:101
Ringvud
Ringvud
Noks
109:92
Ballarat
Ballarat
Noks
96:93
Kilsit
Kilsit
Noks
87:102
Dandenong
Dandenong
4
Wins
1
Losses
100.0
Scored
96.6
Conceded
80%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMount Gambier Pioneers - Noks
Mount Gambier Pioneers
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals