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Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
12.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Northern Tasmania

Basketball
Mount Gambier Pioneers
Mount Gambier Pioneers
91 : 104
Finished
Northern Tasmania
Northern Tasmania

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Northern Tasmania June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Northern Tasmania. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.05 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 22.6%
2 77.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mount Gambier Pioneers
1-4LLLLW
points for 85.3points against 91.1
Northern Tasmania
7-3WWWWWWLLWL
points for 85.8points against 83.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Northern Tasmania

Array

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 102.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 103.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.88 53.2%
1.75 57.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.40 71.4%
1.73 57.8%
1.58 63.3%
1.47 68.0%
1.38 72.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 102.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 103.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 104.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 105.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 106.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 107.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 108.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 109.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 110.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 111.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 145.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 146.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 147.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 148.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 149.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 150.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 151.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 152.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 4.05 24.7% 1.21 82.6%
4.30 23.3% 5.75 17.4% 5.75 17.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 1.18 84.8% 4.62 21.7%
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
L L
29.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 95:97 RingvudRingvud
23.05 08:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 85:109 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
0 Wins
2 Losses
90.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Northern Tasmania
W L L
30.05 07:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Northern Tasmania 99:94 KhobartKhobart
24.05 02:30 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Northern Tasmania 85:96 FrankstonFrankston
23.05 07:00 UTC Australia: NBL 1 South
Northern Tasmania 92:113 GilongGilong
1 Wins
2 Losses
92.0 Scored
101.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage