PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Australia. NBL 1
Australia. NBL 1
04.07.2026 08:45 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:45 UTC
Finished

Australia. NBL 1

North Adelaide Rockets - Sturt Sabres

Basketball
North Adelaide Rockets
North Adelaide Rockets
83 : 104
Finished
Sturt Sabres
Sturt Sabres
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Sturt Sabres — 75%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction North Adelaide Rockets - Sturt Sabres July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sturt Sabres. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.08 / 2 1.26

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 23.6%
2 76.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

5Wins7
41.7%Win %58.3%
77.3Points per game89.3
76.8Offensive rating112.8
88.8Defensive rating97.5
-12.1Point differential12.1
42.6Assists64.8
109.0Rebounds128.5
28.7%3-pointers, %34.8%

Team form

North Adelaide Rockets
Overall LWWLL Net -15.5
Home WLW Net -5.3
Away LWL Net -25.8
Sturt Sabres
Overall WWLWW Net +13.3
Home WLW Net +13.0
Away WWL Net +13.5

Team stats

North Adelaide Rockets Overall · Home/Away Sturt Sabres
31.3%H 37.5% · A 25.0%Win %81.3%H 87.5% · A 75.0%
-15.5H -5.3 · A -25.8Point differential13.3H 13.0 · A 13.5
97.9H 97.1 · A 98.6Points per game90.3H 91.9 · A 88.8
105.6H 99.8 · A 111.5Conceded83.7H 85.4 · A 82.0
50.8%H 50.8% · A 50.8%FG, %51.0%H 53.3% · A 48.8%
18.8H 12.5 · A 25.01st half—A 62.5
80.4H 82.6 · A 78.3Pace77.5H 76.0 · A 79.0
122.8H 119.6 · A 126.1Offensive rating116.5H 118.0 · A 115.0
132.5H 129.1 · A 136.1Defensive rating107.9H 109.4 · A 106.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

North Adelaide Rockets Total (over) Sturt Sabres
97.9 Points per game 90.3
75.0%
O 90.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 91.5
43.8%
62.5%
O 92.5
43.8%
56.3%
O 93.5
43.8%
56.3%
O 94.5srednee
37.5%
50.0%
O 95.5
37.5%
50.0%
O 96.5
31.3%
50.0%
O 97.5
31.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

North Adelaide Rockets Total (over) Sturt Sabres
25.0%
O 106.5
18.8%
25.0%
O 107.5
18.8%
25.0%
O 108.5
18.8%
25.0%
O 109.5
18.8%
25.0%
O 110.5
18.8%
25.0%
O 111.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 112.5
12.5%
18.8%
O 113.5
12.5%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: North Adelaide Rockets 45.5 / Sturt Sabres 47.8

North Adelaide Rockets Total (over) Sturt Sabres
43.8%
O 45.5
68.8%
37.5%
O 46.5srednee
68.8%
31.3%
O 47.5
56.3%
31.3%
O 48.5
56.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: North Adelaide Rockets 50.4 / Sturt Sabres 41.6

North Adelaide Rockets Total (over) Sturt Sabres
75.0%
O 44.5
31.3%
75.0%
O 45.5srednee
31.3%
68.8%
O 46.5
31.3%
62.5%
O 47.5
25.0%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:45 UTC
Match center

North Adelaide Rockets - Sturt Sabres

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 market consensus · line only
1 3.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 182.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 183.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —
— 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 182.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% —
Over 183.5 1.84 54.4% — —
Over 184.5 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 182.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 183.5 1.83 54.6% — —
Under 184.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.08 24.5%
1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
North Adelaide Rockets
L L
13.06 08:45 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets 87:90 Tsentral Distrikts LayonsTsentral Distrikts Layons
31.05 04:00 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets 93:105 Istern MeveriksIstern Meveriks
0 Wins
2 Losses
90.0 Scored
97.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Sturt Sabres
W W
13.06 08:15 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres 74:67 Norwood Flames (Zh)Norwood Flames (Zh)
31.05 05:30 UTC Australia: NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres 84:81 Tsentral Distrikts LayonsTsentral Distrikts Layons
2 Wins
0 Losses
79.0 Scored
74.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage